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Tag Archives: beaches real estate

Downtown Toronto condos: Signs of life

Susan Pigg – Toronto Star

Some Toronto real­tors are see­ing an unex­pected surge in condo buy­ers scour­ing the mar­ket post Christ­mas and the return of a phe­nom­e­non not seen in months – bid­ding wars.

I was shocked,” says ReMax real­tor Peter Krpan who advised one cou­ple, first-time buy­ers, that the soft­en­ing condo mar­ket meant they could take their time and bid low on almost any down­town unit they wanted.

Com­ment: Peo­ple have been think­ing and say­ing that for years, they are never right.

Instead, the cou­ple found them­selves out­bid this month on their first choice, an 800-square foot condo listed for $324,000 on Queen’s Quay.

Their “backup” – an older, 660-square-foot condo on Vic­to­ria St. that had been on the mar­ket for 71 days – sud­denly had three bid­ders and was gone before they could even put in an offer.

Com­ment: A lot of those 71 days, of course, being over Christ­mas and the quiet time of the year. Really, it was only 2 weeks since the mar­ket started up again.

I thought, ‘This can’t be hap­pen­ing. This isn’t in keep­ing with what we’ve been see­ing the last few months at all,” says Krpan.

After a dra­matic soft­en­ing in sales and prices that started last spring and was exac­er­bated by tighter mort­gage lend­ing rules that left many first-time buy­ers on the side­lines, some Toronto real­tors are see­ing some signs of life in a mar­ket that, by Decem­ber, was vir­tu­ally dead.

Com­ment: I said this would hap­pen, that things would pick up in 2013. I pre­dicted this months ago.

Bid­ding wars have also bro­ken out the last two weeks in some prime Toronto neigh­bour­hoods where the inven­tory of houses for sale remains low, such as the west-end Junc­tion Tri­an­gle and the east end Beach.

Com­ment: No sur­prise there are bids on houses, but truly, bids on con­dos sur­prised everyone.

Even the well-supplied condo mar­ket is fac­ing inven­tory issues, say vet­eran condo real­tors. It’s not that there’s a short­age of units, per se, espe­cially given the recent condo boom and the dra­matic soft­en­ing of demand just since spring.

It’s that too much of what’s for sale now are small, poorly laid-out units, aimed at investors, rather than the aver­age buyer, real­tors say.

I think peo­ple who have been stand­ing on the side­lines are real­iz­ing that we’re not hav­ing a crash. We’ve had a lot of clients come out of the wood­work the last cou­ple of weeks,” says down­town real­tor Joanna Kalbarczyk.

Kalbarczyk’s client, a young woman, paid over the $323,000 ask­ing price for the older condo on Vic­to­ria St. that had three offers. She declined to say how much more because the deal is still being finalized.

Real­tors, who have been anx­iously await­ing the nor­mally busy spring mar­ket, are hope­ful this surge means the mar­ket is in pause mode – as it was in the nine months after the 2008 reces­sion – rather than a con­tin­ued decline.

Com­ment: You mean only 3 months. By early 2009 things had picked right back up again.

But no one really knows.

Which is part of the rea­son ReMax has under­taken its first Cana­dian Home­buy­ing Trends Sur­vey, try­ing to gauge who’s buy­ing and how that could impact the over­all hous­ing market.

The sur­vey, released Tues­day, notes that “pur­chas­ing pat­terns have evolved, with a more con­ser­v­a­tive, fiscally-responsible pur­chaser mov­ing to the fore­front,” says Gurinder Sandhu, exec­u­tive vice pres­i­dent and regional direc­tor of ReMax Ontario-Atlantic Canada.

First-time buy­ers are “expe­ri­enc­ing a period of read­just­ment,” says Sandhu, in light of tougher lend­ing rules from Ottawa that cut max­i­mum amor­ti­za­tions from 30 to 25 years and put restric­tions on the types of prop­er­ties the Canada Mort­gage and Hous­ing Corp. will insure where buy­ers don’t have a 20% down payment.

First-time buy­ers will account for about 30% of pur­chasers over the next two years, notes the report.

While the report doesn’t break down local mar­kets, it too con­firms a sig­nif­i­cant shift to the down­town core over the sub­urbs in Ontario, as con­firmed by a TD Eco­nom­ics report, also released Tuesday.

That report, by TD econ­o­mist Fran­cis Fong, notes that double-digit job growth in down­town Toronto from 2006 to 2011 has fol­lowed in the foot­steps of all those folks who are now opt­ing to live down­town, rather than in the sub­urbs, close to tran­sit lines and ameni­ties in what’s now become a vital, vibrant world-class city.

Com­ment: And this is why the strong real estate mar­ket is no sur­prise. Job growth, com­pa­nies mov­ing here, com­mer­cial tow­ers being built, peo­ple want­ing to live near work, totally chang­ing lifestyles. It is awesome!

—————————————————————————————————–
Con­tact the Jef­frey Team for more infor­ma­tion – 416−388−1960

Lau­rin & Natalie Jef­frey are Toronto Real­tors with Cen­tury 21 Regal Realty.
They did not write these arti­cles, they just repro­duce them here for peo­ple
who are inter­ested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.

—————————————————————————————————–


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  • In Toronto, more proof the high end is heating up

    Carolyn Ireland – Globe and Mail

    High-end Toronto real estate is showing signs of a rebound.

    Last week in Toronto’s Beaches neighbourhood, two very large houses in choice locations found new owners.

    Nothing remarkable about that if the house is listed for, say, $800,000, but both of these had asking prices in excess of $2-million. And both of these properties – one on the waterfront, the other backing onto a ravine – were listed last fall and languished on the market, say brokers Rick and Rochelle DeClute.

    At the time, many agents were talking about the fear that seemed to have permeated the echelons above $2-million or so.

    The DeClutes have been amazed how eager buyers in the upper tiers of the market seemed to be this February.

    “That was surprising to see those two go in a week,” says Mr. DeClute.

    The house on the water sold for just under $3-million after a total of eight months on the market.

    The house on the ravine, says Ms. DeClute, is one of those Beaches landmarks with a lovely property and a separate coach house residence in the back. Ms. DeClute’s grandmother – the first of the three generations in her family to sell real estate in the neighbourhood – was once the owner.

    The price had been reduced since the fall and this time it was on the market for a month before two buyers competed for it and it sold for just under $2.5-million.

    “I was so surprised that it hadn’t sold sooner,” Ms. DeClute. “But that confidence level has certainly returned at the high end.”

    Ms. DeClute says she was able to draw more than one bid because agents representing potential buyers had asked her to keep them in the loop if an offer was on the way.

    “Real estate is emotional,” she says. “It becomes more appealing when someone else wants it.”

    Real estate mavens can also gauge enthusiasm by the traffic at the open house and the number of agents’ business cards left on the hall table.

    “Agents are well aware when interest is building,” she says.

    Last summer and into the fall, the crisis in Greece was at its most dire and financial markets were tumultuous.

    She gets the sense that wealthy buyers are more confident about the economy and financial markets.

    As well, people buying at the high end in the Beaches are often trading up within the same neighbourhood and so they have seen great gains in the price of their existing house as well.

    For the most part these buyers aren’t taking on mortgages, so they are not as swayed by low interest rates as first-time buyers are.

    Speaking of first-time buyers, that segment of the market continues to be “absolutely crazy”, she says. Buyers in the middle price ranges outnumber the listings available.

    Comment: Like I keep saying, as long as there are way more buyers than sellers, bidding wars will be common and prices will continue to be pushed up.

    The DeClutes point to another more typical Beach house that sold last week with six offers. The winning bid was more than $1-million.

    “There wasn’t anything else out there,” says Mr. DeClute.

    This lack of listings has been a lament for a few years now and the situation only seems to get worse.

    I regularly invite readers to weigh in and one who made some very good points about the dearth of listings was Alison Baxter.

    “I moved from Kingston Township to Toronto more than 20 years ago and to this day have not adjusted to the insanity of Toronto real estate,” she wrote in an e-mail. “Neither can I get used to the idea that a couple of hundred thousand dollars more or less on a mortgage is pretty much nothing in the scheme of things,” she says.

    In Ms. Baxter’s opinion, the shortage of listings is driving the market more than the ultra-low interest rates.

    The cost of moving from one desirable neighbourhood to another more desirable neighbourhood is immense, she points out. Moving from Leaside to Lawrence Park, for example, can’t be done for less than an additional $750,000 to $1-million.

    “Because of bidding wars, no agent can tell the vendor exactly what his house will sell for, or what the house he wishes to purchase will cost. This uncertainty can potentially result in paying hundreds of thousands of dollars more or less than is budgeted for.”

    She also points out that real estate fees, land transfer tax and City of Toronto tax can add up to about the same amount as a dream kitchen renovation, so homeowners feel they may as well stay put.

    Ms. DeClute also points to the vicious cycle of homeowners hesitating to sell until they have bought their next house but having trouble finding that move-up house to buy. It also takes a leap of confidence to buy first.

    Mr. DeClute had been experiencing that angst first-hand.

    He and his wife recently bought a house facing the lake and listed their renovated Beaches Victorian for sale for $1.189-million. He de-cluttered, had the house staged and moved his family out for a week. This week, the work paid off – and bolstered the view that high-end buyers are getting their brio back: The DeClutes received six offers and the house sold for $1.327-million, or $138,000 over asking.

    —————————————————————————————————–
    Contact the Jeffrey Team for more information – 416-388-1960

    Laurin & Natalie Jeffrey are Toronto Realtors with Century 21 Regal Realty.
    They did not write these articles, they just reproduce them here for people
    who are interested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.

    —————————————————————————————————–


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  • Eager buyers keep housing market hot

    By Susan Pigg – Toronto Star MoneyVille

    Finan­cial con­sul­tant Jose Jimenez has been on his own gut-wrenching roller coaster ride the last few weeks — and not because of the stock mar­ket fluc­tu­a­tions he mon­i­tors daily.

    Jimenez, 35, has been try­ing to buy his first home.

    In a way, I’ve been root­ing for the mar­kets to tank a bit and hop­ing that might encour­age other peo­ple not to buy right now, but that doesn’t seem to be the case,” says Jimenez, whose wife is expect­ing their sec­ond child.

    In fact, whip­saw­ing mar­kets, fears of a double-dip reces­sion and global eco­nomic uncer­tainty seem to have made hous­ing look as good as gold.

    Cana­dian home sales were up 12.3% last month from July, 2010 and are expected to grow slightly the rest of this year because of low inter­est rates, the Cana­dian Real Estate Asso­ci­a­tion said Tuesday.

    We antic­i­pate that, going for­ward, the hous­ing mar­ket in Canada is going to be an oasis of sta­bil­ity com­pared to what is expected to be fur­ther volatil­ity in finan­cial mar­kets,” Gre­gory Klump, CREA’s chief econ­o­mist, said in a tele­phone interview.

    Almost 285,000 hous­ing units have sold across Canada so far this year, just 1.6% below sales for the same period last year, and that’s expected to hit 450,800 by the end of 2011, accord­ing to CREA forecasts.

    That’s despite dire pre­dic­tions ear­lier this year from some hous­ing ana­lysts that the real estate bub­ble is over­due to burst and send Toronto prices top­pling by as much as 25%.

    Jimenez is keenly aware of all those num­bers but has a few more press­ing ones on his mind: His sec­ond child is due in Sep­tem­ber, his 2-year-old daugh­ter Sadie will start school in a cou­ple of years and Jimenez and his wife, Syd­ney Richard­son, just want a house they can make a home.

    Richard­son is now wor­ried the cou­ple are “doomed” to have to raise their chil­dren in their two-bedroom Beach apart­ment after los­ing out Mon­day in a six-person bid­ding war — their sec­ond in just a few weeks — on a ren­o­vated three-bedroom Beach semi that was listed for $699,000.

    The cou­ple offered $703,000, only to be out­done by a so-called “bully bid” — a down-to-the-wire offer almost $100,000 over ask­ing price.

    Com­ment: Wrong. A bully offer is one that comes in before the offer date. An offer that comes in at the last minute is just rude – but effec­tive in that the other bid­ders are not expect­ing it. Nei­ther prac­tice is con­sid­ered to be good behaviour.

    Last month they were braced to offer $70,000 over the $550,000 ask­ing price for a Rhyl Ave. house but found them­selves up against 13 other poten­tial buy­ers. The house sold for $120,000 over asking.

    The cou­ple has talked about putting things on hold until the real estate mar­ket calms down, but their biggest fear is that day will never come.

    Com­ment: Not any time soon. And even if it does, the house that was $699,000 today will be $819,000 by the time the bid­ding wars end. Does not mat­ter either way if you can­not afford it.

    While Sonya Gulati, an econ­o­mist at TD Eco­nom­ics, antic­i­pates sales will be a lit­tle more sub­dued in the fall, she said first-time buy­ers and immi­grants are still being drawn into the mar­ket by inter­est rates that are expected to remain low until 2013.

    On the one hand, they are incred­i­bly brave given all the eco­nomic uncer­tainty out there,” says Gulati, “but you need a place to live and a house is a long-term pur­chase so peo­ple seem to think it makes sense despite the mar­ket gyrations.”

    Real estate agents say they are see­ing more and more home buy­ers, bank­ing on low inter­est rates, tak­ing on mort­gages of $300,000 to $500,000.

    A vet­eran Beaches real estate agent blames lack of sup­ply for many of the bid­ding wars, but expects that could ease in the fall as more baby boomers look to cash out on their biggest asset at peak market.

    Com­ment: But baby boomers are not cash­ing out, they are stay­ing in place and ren­o­vat­ing. That is part of the prob­lem, why list­ings are down and bid­ding wars are so common.

    Domenic Pol­soni is so con­fi­dent real estate is a sure bet, he recently traded in his Mil­ton home, and gave up one car to help finance the move to a more expen­sive house in the Duf­ferin St. and Shep­pard Ave. area.

    Peo­ple have been say­ing for years that the real estate bub­ble is going to burst, but I can’t imag­ine that will hap­pen. We sur­vived a major hit in 2008, peo­ple held their breath and then every­thing just seemed to march along.”

    Jimenez fears get­ting caught up in the cur­rent real estate “panic.”

    But this is the neigh­bour­hood where we want to raise our kids. Even if we were to take a short-term loss, I wouldn’t be too wor­ried about it in the long run.

    I think we’d def­i­nitely get the value back from it, not just in the sale price, but in the life we will have had bring­ing up our fam­ily in that neighbourhood.”

    ———————————————————————————————————————
    Con­tact the Jef­frey Team for more infor­ma­tion – 416−388−1960

    Lau­rin & Natalie Jef­frey are Toronto Real­tors with Cen­tury 21 Regal Realty.
    They did not write these arti­cles, they just repro­duce them here for peo­ple
    who are inter­ested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.

    ———————————————————————————————————————


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