Tag Archives: Canadian housing starts
Housing pace cools on fewer condo starts
Tavia Grant – Globe and Mail
Canadian housing starts cooled for the first time this year in March as condominium construction eased.
Housing starts fell 1.5% last month to 197,300 units on a seasonally adjusted annual basis as builders broke ground on fewer multiple-unit dwellings, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. said.
National starts have been generally rising in recent months as Canada’s real estate market steams ahead. While last month’s reading was little changed, several factors suggest the market remains strong: February’s revised numbers show starts climbed above the 200,000 mark for the first time since October, 2008. And single home construction hit a four-year high in March.
Multi-unit construction, meantime, tends to be volatile, with the March drop following a month-earlier increase.
The pace of housing starts – and broader real estate activity – will likely ease in the second half of this year as mortgage rates rise and new tax regimes and regulations dampen the market, economists said.
“It’s a bit hard to believe starts will hold at this level,” said Pascal Gauthier, economist at Toronto-Dominion Bank.
Canada requires a pace of housing starts of about 175,000 to 185,000 to keep up with demographic demand, economists estimate.
In March, urban multiple starts fell 15.2% while single-family starts grew 6.9%.
The findings echo a report last week, showing building permits eased due to a lull in multiple-unit activity. Building permits fell for the second month in a row in February, sliding 0.5% in the month.
Single starts are now running at a four-year high. “Activity in this sector is now up 126% from the recession low and … has seen 11 consecutive monthly gains since bottoming in April last year,” Bank of Montreal economist Robert Kavcic said.
Starts fell 16.3% in British Columbia, 15.5% in Ontario, and 8% in Atlantic Canada. They rose 13.5% in Quebec and 7.3% in the Prairies.
Rural starts were estimated at 22,100 units in March.
Levels in January and February were revised upward. In January, they rose 7.5% to 189,000, and in February, the new reading shows they rose 6% to 200,400 units.
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