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Tag Archives: canadian real estate prices

Average home price dropped $10K in July

CBC News

Average home prices in July were lower than they were in June, but sales numbers and average prices are still up sharply compared to the same month a year ago, new data showed Tuesday.

The Canadian Real Estate Association said the national average price for homes sold in July 2011 stood at $361,181, which is the lowest level since January. In June, the average price was $372,700. Despite the slowdown, prices have nonetheless gained 9.3% in the past 12 months.

Comment: What? Prices dropped $10k in July, but are up almost 10% in the past year. So we are concerned about a $10k drop after prices have risen $40k? Can someone explain to me how this is bad news? The average price has risen nationally by over 9% and we are talking about prices going down? Is there a special class in journalism school that teaches people how to spin good news into bad? I am a journalism school grad (which obviously leads to a career in real estate) which is why I am always so hard on writers and reports.

“Earlier this year, the national average price was being skewed upward by sales in some expensive Vancouver neighbourhoods, but this factor is now diminishing,” CREA’s chief economist Gregory Klump said. “Upward skewing of the national average price is also shrinking due to overall sales trends in Vancouver, and most recently in Toronto.”

The pullback was expected, as most economists have been forecasting for months that prices and sales will moderate somewhat through 2011 after an exceptional run following the recession that ended in 2009.

Comment: The pullback was expected because every summer sees a mini-slump. Prices and activity always go down in the summer because people are on vacation, at the cottage or just enjoying some relaxation time in the backyard. Watch things go up again in the fall – like they do every year.

“Sales should ultimately find support from a continuation of exceptionally low borrowing costs,” Bank of Montreal economist Doug Porter said in a note Tuesday morning.

Sales activity, meanwhile, was flat on a monthly basis (up by less than 1%) but it came in 12.3% above national levels reported in July 2010. The large gain is a bit misleading because it came against an oddly low comparison point: Sales activity in July 2010 was the lowest it’s been since 2002.

2011 Forecast Raised

In a separate release Tuesday, CREA updated its forecast for the housing market as a whole. The agency now expects 450,800 homes to change hands across Canada this year, an increase of less than one% from their last forecast in May.

Sales are forecast to then slip to 447,700 units in 2012.

Comment: To put that in perspective, they are saying that sales volume will decrease by 0.7% next year. Statistically moot. That is only 3,100 out of 450,800, or 1/150th. Moot.

CREA also expects the average price of a sold home will be $363,500 through 2011 as a whole. That’s slightly higher than the July figure, but well below some of the monthly averages seen so far in 2011.

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Contact the Jeffrey Team for more information – 416-388-1960

Laurin & Natalie Jeffrey are Toronto Realtors with Century 21 Regal Realty.
They did not write these articles, they just reproduce them here for people
who are interested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.

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Canadian home sales rise, prices stable

CBC News

The aver­age price of a home sold in Canada hit $324,928 in August, roughly in line with the same month a year ago, the Cana­dian Real Estate Asso­ci­a­tion said Wednesday.

The aver­age price was higher or sta­ble on a yearly basis in two-thirds of the cities where CREA tracks data. On a monthly basis, the aver­age price was slightly lower than the aver­age sell­ing price of $330,351 in July 2010.

It is also the third con­sec­u­tive month that aver­age sale prices have dropped after increas­ing at a tor­rid pace for the pre­vi­ous year.

The num­ber of new list­ings on the agency’s Mul­ti­ple List­ings Ser­vice was more than dou­ble than the num­ber of sales. A 2–1 ratio of list­ings to sales is gen­er­ally viewed as a “bal­anced” hous­ing mar­ket, BMO econ­o­mist Doug Porter noted.

Ris­ing inter­est rates and a pro­jected slow­down in job growth mean that the Cana­dian hous­ing mar­ket is expected to con­tinue to cool,” CREA pres­i­dent Georges Pahud said.

A fur­ther tight­en­ing of reg­u­la­tions could neg­a­tively impact Canada’s soft­en­ing hous­ing mar­ket and con­sumer confidence.”

In terms of sales, activ­ity was 4.1% higher, on a monthly basis, in August. It’s the first monthly increase since March and only the sec­ond monthly gain of the 2010 cal­en­dar year.

Activ­ity was up most in Ontario and British Colum­bia, with monthly gains in these two provinces account­ing for most of the improve­ment in national sales activity.

Canada’s real estate mar­ket was abnor­mally active in late 2009 as buy­ers rushed to take advan­tage of low inter­est rates, so yearly com­par­isons are likely to be neg­a­tive for the rest of 2010, the agency warned.

High sales activ­ity late last year and ear­lier this year bor­rowed from sales this sum­mer and will con­tinue do so over the com­ing months,” CREA econ­o­mist Gre­gory Klump said.

This makes the return to more nor­mal lev­els of sales activ­ity look like a steep down­ward trend… The hang­over from accel­er­ated home pur­chases is likely to per­sist over the rest of the year.”

MLS list­ings were 1.9% higher dur­ing the month com­pared to July, which pushed inven­tory to 6.9 months at the end of August 2010 on a national basis, down slightly from the seven months of inven­tory at the end of July 2010.

Inven­tory is the term used to describe how long it would take to sell the entire avail­able hous­ing stock at the cur­rent sales.

While home sales are still nurs­ing a bit of a hang­over from the real estate party in the first half of the year, it looks like con­di­tions are sta­bi­liz­ing,” Porter said.

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Con­tact the Jef­frey Team for more infor­ma­tion  -  416−388−1960

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House prices stay hot over holidays

By Lori Mcleod Globe and Mail

Canadian real estate prices blasted through what is usually a holiday slowdown period at warp speed, but the big gains are unlikely to continue this year, according at a recent real estate report.

While home sale prices typically moderate in the fourth quarter, last year the average price of a detached bungalow increased by 11.6% to $337,555 from $302,497 the year before. The price of an average two-storey property rose 11.3% to $399,738, and a condo unit 11.7% to $240,395.

“The fourth quarter [of] 2007 was surprisingly strong, with unseasonably high price increases and unwavering demand,” said Phil Soper, president and chief executive officer of RLP, in a statement.

“As we move into the new year, activity levels are expected to wane from the frantic pace that many regions of the country experienced in 2007.”

While home sale prices typically moderate in the fourth quarter, last year the average price of a detached bungalow increased by 11.6% to $337,555 from $302,497 the year before.

Average prices are still expected to rise, but at a much more moderate pace, Mr. Soper added.

Much of the fourth quarter’s strength was due to natural resources, which drove growth in markets such as Regina and Saskatoon, the report said. The market with the biggest year-over-year home price gain in the quarter was Saskatoon, where the price of a bungalow rose by 55.2% to $292,500 and a two-storey home by 56.7% to $321,250. The highest priced homes in the country were in Vancouver, where the average two-storey house would set you back $895,000, compared with $803,500 the year before.

The only market to experience a price decline was the condo market in Fredericton, where the price of a unit fell by $500 to $126,000. Price growth was also notably slower in Calgary, where double digit gains appear to be a thing of the past. The price of a detached bungalow in Calgary rose 5.2% to $429,889, compared with $408,833 in 2006.

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Contact the Jeffrey Team for more information – 416-388-1960

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