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Tag Archives: condo sales

Toronto real estate: Downtown condos lead broad rise in prices

Susan Pigg – Toronto Star

Sales of homes across the GTA slipped by 2.1% in April, but prices were up 2%, as the usu­ally hot spring mar­ket suf­fered through another wet, cold month.

Sur­pris­ingly, down­town con­dos saw the biggest spike in prices — up 5.6% to an aver­age of $379,266 — and a decline in sales of just 1.3% over last April, accord­ing to sta­tis­tics released Fri­day by the Toronto Real Estate Board.

Sub­ur­ban condo sales were the flip side of the coin, how­ever, in a mar­ket that con­tin­ues to glide to a soft land­ing rather than the dev­as­tat­ing crash many eco­nom­ics and hous­ing experts had pre­dicted just last fall.

Com­ment: I guess it goes to show that the econ­o­mists were sim­ply wrong. Hous­ing experts did not pre­dict a crash, only the econ­o­mists. Those in the real estate indus­try pre­dicted a slower INCREASE in sales and prices. As I keep say­ing, why does any­one believe or trust the econ­o­mists any­more, they have been wrong for 10+ years now.

Resale condo prices were down almost 6% across the 905 regions, to an aver­age of $273,832. Sales of sub­ur­ban con­dos took the biggest hit of any hous­ing sec­tor across the GTA in April — next to sales of detached homes in the 416 region — drop­ping 7.3% in April.

The con­do­minium apart­ment seg­ment in the City of Toronto was a key dri­ver of price growth in April,” which sug­gests that first-time buy­ers are out house hunt­ing again, almost a year after Ottawa moved to tighten mort­gage lend­ing rules, said TREB pres­i­dent Ann Han­nah in a statement.

Com­ment: That and condo list­ings rose while new projects stalled. Easy to see what pushed resale condo sales up.

Econ­o­mist Will Dun­ning points out, how­ever, that this April had 22 week­days — when sales tend to be recorded by TREB — com­pared to 20 in 2012. When sales fig­ures are adjusted for sea­sonal fluc­tu­a­tions, the sales down­turn of 2% reported by TREB is prob­a­bly closer to 14%, he noted.

Com­ment: For­get the stu­pid extra day / fewer days BS, that is stu­pid. Not until this year did we split hairs that fine. April is April, can we please just leave it like that. And that is just try­ing to make a good news num­ber look bad by con­duct­ing some voodoo math on it. I am sure I could pick a bunch of other months over the past year or two and do the same false adjust­ing and arrive at num­bers that look bet­ter than they should. But how do 10% extra days turn into 700% worse sales? That is some really inter­est­ing math!

Most inter­est­ing about the condo num­bers, said Dun­ning, is that the total num­ber of units for sale in the 416 region was up 8%, help­ing keep the mar­ket sta­ble, while there was a 16% jump in the 905 regions, now a buyer’s market.

Com­ment: Amaz­ing, list­ings were up 8% and sales rose 5.6% – not that there is a con­nec­tion there or anything…

There’s still not a lot of urgency in the mar­ket­place,” said down­town real­tor Andrew la Fleur, who focuses largely on the down­town condo mar­ket. “There’s still a lot of wait-and-see mindset.”

Com­ment: And sell­ers are not blinking.

Detached homes took the biggest hit in April. Sales in the City of Toronto plum­meted almost 12% over last April, although prices were up 2.5% to an aver­age of $852,090, accord­ing to TREB’s fig­ures. That may reflect, at least in part, the lack of enough detached homes on the mar­ket to meet demand, which has been an ongo­ing issue, espe­cially in Toronto, for three or four years and has con­tributed to bid­ding wars — and esca­lat­ing prices even in a soft­en­ing mar­ket — in cov­eted neigh­bour­hoods close to down­town jobs and tran­sit lines.

Sales of detached homes in the 905 were up 2.5% year over year, and prices were up 2.2% to an aver­age of $588,784, accord­ing to TREB.

Semi-detached homes in the 416 region saw a 5.5% sales down­turn in April, year over year, but prices were up 2.4% to an aver­age of $595,398. In the sub­urbs, the sale of semis were up 1.3% and prices up 4.3%, to an aver­age sale price of $410,739.

Town­house sales declined 3.6% in the city, but the aver­age sales price was $433,710, up 2.3% over last April. In the 905 region, town­house trans­ac­tions declined by 1.2%, although prices were up 3.5%, to an aver­age sales price of $375,269.

Despite an unre­lent­ing win­ter that lin­gered through most of April, damp­en­ing the enthu­si­asm of both buy­ers and sell­ers, some of whom were hold­ing out for their pricey land­scap­ing to be in bloom, new list­ings were up almost 11% year over year.

Com­ment: I bet we see a pos­tive May, finally some nice weather!

The time it takes to sell a house climbed slightly, to 23 days com­pared to 21 days in April of 2012. Con­dos, on the other hand, are aver­ag­ing 32 days on the market.

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Con­tact the Jef­frey Team for more infor­ma­tion – 416−388−1960

Lau­rin & Natalie Jef­frey are Toronto Real­tors with Cen­tury 21 Regal Realty.
They did not write these arti­cles, they just repro­duce them here for peo­ple
who are inter­ested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.

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Toronto Condo Market Report 2013 Q1

Toronto Real­tors reported 4,133 condo sales through the Toronto MLS sys­tem dur­ing the first quar­ter of 2013. This result was down by approx­i­mately 17% in com­par­i­son to the first quar­ter of 2012.

Com­ment: Which is crazy when we see the direc­tion change com­pletely in the first half of April when sales were down only 4.3% but prices rose 5.9%. I think we are see­ing the condo mar­ket right itself and get back on solid foot­ing. Regard­less of the neg­a­tive spin the media has put on it for the past… oh, 10 years or so.

New list­ings of con­do­minium apart­ments were also down on a year-over-basis in the first quar­ter, but by a lesser annual rate of 5%.

Com­ment: So the flood of con­dos being sold by pan­ick­ing investors flee­ing the mar­ket did not hap­pen? Wow, I am NOT sur­prised in the least. If list­ings were down 5% and sales were down 17%, then it is only a net drop of 12%. Either way, there is no flood of con­dos on the mar­ket, like all the naysay­ers pre­dicted. Yet again, they were wrong. What are they now, 0–412?

Buy­ers ben­e­fit­ted from a sub­stan­tial amount of choice in the condo mar­ket in the first quar­ter, espe­cially in com­par­i­son to low-rise home types. This being said, the fact that new condo list­ings were down in the first quar­ter sug­gests that the mar­ket may become tighter mov­ing for­ward. This will also depend on the tim­ing and scale of future condo apart­ment com­ple­tions,” said Toronto Real Estate Board Pres­i­dent Ann Hannah.

Com­ment: With only 3 new condo projects launched in Q1 2013, it would seem that the condo mar­ket will tighten. That is the beauty of the real estate mar­ket, it is self-correcting. If it appears that there is too much prod­uct or that projects won’t sell, the devel­op­ers hold back. Sure, there was help from Mr. Fla­herty on one front, but the mar­ket is dri­ven by so many inde­pen­dent peo­ple that it keeps itself in line. There were 85,731 sales through MLS in 2012. Assum­ing one buyer and one seller for each trans­ac­tion, plus a real­tor for each, that means there were 342,924 peo­ple involved in last year’s real estate mar­ket. Add in friends and rel­a­tives of buy­ers and sell­ers, never mind another 30,000-odd new home sales and you are prob­a­bly look­ing at 1,000,000 dif­fer­ent peo­ple touch­ing the mar­ket. Add in mort­gage bro­kers and bank reps, home inspec­tors, you name… think of every­one involved in all of those sales. That is why the mar­ket is 100% fair – the sales and prices are set by a HUGE com­mit­tee. It is not like 10 real­tors got together to scheme and plan it all out… That is why it cracks me up when peo­ple com­plain to me that high prices are all the fault of real estate agents, we are the ones mak­ing the mar­ket so costly and crazy and what­ever else it is that bugs them. So I explain that my involve­ment in the greater real estate mar­ket accounts for about 0.00583% of the total. And most agents have even less effect.

The aver­age price for first quar­ter condo sales was $332,846 – down by 0.5% com­pared to the same period in 2012.

Com­ment: A dip, yes, but not the cat­a­strophic col­lapse that so many pre­dicted. And the first half of April is show­ing prices turn­ing around and ris­ing 5.9% – quite a dif­fer­ence. And again, quite the oppo­site of what the doom brigade said would happen.

With months of inven­tory high from a his­toric per­spec­tive, it makes sense that the aver­age sell­ing price for con­dos edged lower over the past two quar­ters. How­ever, March results were much more pos­i­tive com­pared to the first quar­ter as a whole, with the aver­age condo sell­ing price up by two per cent annu­ally for the GTA,” said Jason Mer­cer, TREB’s Senior Man­ager of Mar­ket Analysis.

Com­ment: Inven­tory may be high, but list­ings are going down. This will bring inven­tory down. Which will tighten the mar­ket. And fewer new projects launch­ing even fur­ther tight­ens the mar­ket. And this will push up prices.

Con­do­minium Mar­ket Sum­mary First Quar­ter 2013

Total TREB (905 and 416)
2013 Sales: 4,133 | Aver­age Price: $332,846
2012 Sales: 4,973 | Aver­age Price: $334,669

City of Toronto (416 only)
2013 Sales: 2,924 | Aver­age Price: $355,776
2012 Sales: 3,513 | Aver­age Price: $360,343

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Con­tact the Jef­frey Team for more infor­ma­tion – 416−388−1960

Lau­rin & Natalie Jef­frey are Toronto Real­tors with Cen­tury 21 Regal Realty.
They did not write these arti­cles, they just repro­duce them here for peo­ple
who are inter­ested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.

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  • New website meant to shine light on underground segment of condo sales

    Assign­ments’ seen as the Wild West of condo sales

    Susan Pigg – Toronto Star

    A vet­eran Toronto real estate agent is launch­ing a new MLS-like web­site aimed at open­ing up the under­ground condo assign­ment market.

    Com­ment: Why call it “under­ground”? You are try­ing to make it sound illicit, which it is not. How is it any dif­fer­ent from the untracked world of pri­vate sales?

    The new site, Assign​mentList​ingSer​vice​.com, is meant to pro­vide a cen­tral­ized list­ing of assign­ment units now largely being sold via word of mouth or through unreg­u­lated online sites such as Craigslist and Kijiji.

    Com­ment: Blame the builders, do not make it sound like sell­ers or real estate agents are being sly or under­handed. Builders will not let buy­ers sell their units until the condo cor­po­ra­tion is reg­is­tered. Some times peo­ple need to sell, their life has changed. Heck, it could have been 4 years since they bought – maybe they are mar­ried with a child now and need the money to buy a house. This is not some dirty underworld.

    For now, it’s largely restricted to real­tors for a fee but, over time, it’s hoped more pub­lic list­ings will be acces­si­ble to the pub­lic as resale prop­er­ties are now on Real​tor​.ca

    What we’re try­ing to do is add some trans­parency to the process,” says Jamie John­ston of downtown’s ReMax Con­dos Plus Corp. “I don’t know how big this is going to be, but it’s impor­tant it be an orderly market.

    Com­ment: Orderly? Or prof­itable? Note that it is only avail­able to real estate agents who pay for access. This is just one bro­ker­age try­ing to take advan­tage of a part of the mar­ket. Good for them, it is harder and harder to make money in real estate these days, so much com­pe­ti­tion. But let’s call it what it is, a way to make money, not some altru­is­tic endeav­our to help all those poor folks who need to buy or sell a condo assignment.

    Right now it’s the Wild West.”

    Assign­ments are typ­i­cally brand new con­dos or units still being built that buy­ers pur­chased years ear­lier in the pre­con­struc­tion phase. By “assign­ing” — or flip­ping — them to new buy­ers before the project is fully occu­pied and reg­is­tered, the ini­tial buyer is able to pocket con­sid­er­able prof­its and pass some or all of their clos­ing costs to the new buyer.

    Com­ment: An assign­ment is the sale of a condo where the condo cor­po­ra­tion has not been reg­is­tered and the orig­i­nal buyer does not yet have title to the condo. They are essen­tially sell­ing the pur­chase con­tract, they are assign­ing the right to buy it. It does not mean the orig­i­nal buyer pock­ets a ton of prof­its, let’s be clear. And if you had bought any prop­erty 3–5 years ago and sold it now, you would make money.

    The new buyer gets the ben­e­fit, in many cases, of being able to actu­ally walk through a never-lived-in unit rather than hav­ing to buy from blue­prints, although the uncom­pleted build­ing can still be, as John­ston puts it, “a war zone.”

    Com­ment: A con­struc­tion zone, but call­ing it a war zone is a bit much.

    The sec­ondary buyer can also snag a bit of a bar­gain: Assign­ments tend to sell below mar­ket value, or at least they did before condo prices started slip­ping last fall.

    Com­ment: Not quite. The mar­ket value of a condo does tend to rise when the condo corp is reg­is­tered. Buy­ing before that means you are sim­ply buy­ing some­thing worth less, not at less than it is worth. But buy­ing a month before reg­is­tra­tion can cer­tainly see a nice short term price bump.

    But these deals can also be com­plex and risky and the sec­tor largely unreg­u­lated. Many real­tors and lawyers avoid assign­ments because the con­tracts and fees are far more com­pli­cated than nor­mal resale deals.

    Com­ment: Not so much risky, but cer­tainly a lit­tle more com­plex than a stan­dard deal. Hav­ing done a few, they are noth­ing to be afraid of. There is the same reg­u­la­tion involved as with any other sale. You would have 2 real estate agents involved, 2 lawyers, the buyer and the seller. The builder also has to give con­sent in writ­ing. All the same rules apply as to a resale trans­ac­tion. You would need a mort­gage approval, etc. Not sure why the writer is try­ing to make assign­ments sound so shady… blame the builders, allow peo­ple to put them on MLS, get it all out into the open.

    It can also be more dif­fi­cult to deter­mine the real value of the units because any com­pa­ra­bles sold in the build­ing sel­dom show up on the resale Mul­ti­ple List­ing Service.

    Com­ment: The real value is what some­one will pay for it. And you can sim­ply do the math. If the orig­i­nal price was $300,000 and prices have risen 5.46% every year since, then the unit is likely worth around $350,000 give or take. And if the new buyer agrees, then we know the value of the unit is now $350,000. Easy.

    On top of that, most devel­op­ers’ con­tracts for­bid ini­tial pur­chasers from mar­ket­ing their units on MLS or other online ser­vices, for fear they will com­pete with any units the builder has yet to sell.

    Com­ment: And that is why all of this hap­pens off MLS and out of sight. It is the builders who con­trol the situation.

    Some devel­op­ers charge $5,000 to $7,000 for the right to assign units.

    Com­ment: No, most charge $2,000.

    Many allow it free but for­bid mar­ket­ing the units on MLS or other pub­lic online ser­vices. Buy­ers found vio­lat­ing that rule can have their units seized and lose their deposits, but devel­op­ers usu­ally back down as long as the unit is pulled off pub­lic sites, says real estate lawyer David Feld.

    Com­ment: Try ALL of them for­bid the pub­lic offer­ing for sale of the units. Sure, you can sell it pri­vately to your aunt, but you can­not adver­tise them pub­licly for sale. Even on Kijiji or Craigslist is tech­ni­cally against their rules. And the penal­ties are bru­tal, the builder can take back the unit and keep your deposit, leav­ing the buyer with noth­ing. Gen­er­ally they only police MLS, but even putting it up on some small online clas­si­fied site could get the unit for­feited. Again, blame the builders.

    John­ston antic­i­pates that up to 8,000 assign­ment units could come on the mar­ket annu­ally across the GTA over the next few years as devel­op­ers start to build the record 28,000 condo units sold in 2011. Mar­ket research firm Urba­na­tion believes the real num­ber will be sub­stan­tially lower than that as buy­ers opt to hold on and rent out units in the soft­en­ing market.

    Com­ment: And I believe Urba­na­tion more. That and I just don’t see that many assign­ments out there. We had 28,000 com­ple­tions a cou­ple years back and there was no spike in assignments.

    Johnston’s aim is to not only pro­vide a cen­tral­ized list­ing ser­vice for assign­ments, but also real estate and legal experts knowl­edge­able about the specifics of this small but impor­tant seg­ment of the grow­ing condo market.

    Com­ment: Other than the aim of mak­ing money from the fees to access the service?

    He believes that because Assign​mentList​ingSer​vice​.com is quite dif­fer­ent and sep­a­rate from the resale MLS com­puter list­ing ser­vice, it won’t vio­late most devel­op­ers’ rules.

    Com­ment: Yes, it cer­tainly does. It is the pub­lic offer­ing for sale of units not yet reg­is­tered. Exactly against the rules writ­ten into all sales contracts.

    Feld isn’t so sure, as some­one who’s seen the assign­ment mar­ket from both sides — he’s han­dled many such deals and is now qui­etly try­ing to find a buyer for a brand new town­house he bought in the pre­con­struc­tion phase.

    They aren’t voodoo. You’re get­ting some­thing new with the added bonus of actu­ally see­ing it first,” says Feld. “But, ulti­mately, it’s the builder that is in control.”

    —————————————————————————————————–
    Con­tact the Jef­frey Team for more infor­ma­tion – 416−388−1960

    Lau­rin & Natalie Jef­frey are Toronto Real­tors with Cen­tury 21 Regal Realty.
    They did not write these arti­cles, they just repro­duce them here for peo­ple
    who are inter­ested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.

    —————————————————————————————————–

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