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Tag Archives: desirable areas

In Toronto, more condos on the horizon despite dipping prices

Carolyn Ireland – The Globe and Mail

Bargain-hunting is under way in Toronto’s condo market.

Real estate agent Christopher Bibby, who was lamenting the stagnation in the market earlier this fall, says he has seen a recent upswing.

Mr. Bibby sold nine downtown condo properties in November.

“I feel the buyers are seeing a lot of value on the condo side,” says Mr. Bibby, of Sutton Group Associates Realty Inc. He says prices in some buildings have dipped between 5 and 10% since the spring and that is encouraging buyers to negotiate.

That will be good news to Great Gulf president David Gerofsky. Great Gulf has no intention of slowing the rate of condo project launches even as sales remain shaky.

“The major developers are continuing to sell and are still able to get financing,” he says.

Great Gulf typically launches two projects per year, he adds, and intends to do so next year as well. The buildings will have roughly 300 units each.

Mr. Gerofsky sat down to talk about the market while he was celebrating the redevelopment of the old Unilever soap factory near the foot of the Don Valley Parkway. The 30-acre site will be turned into a complex of office towers, retail stores and restaurants over the next five to 10 years by First Gulf Corp.

Mr. Gerofsky likens the future development to London’s Canary Wharf. “Thirty acres represents a huge chunk of downtown Toronto,” he says. “You can’t just plunk down a bunch of office buildings and a coffee shop.”

But not everyone is so sanguine. Last week I asked readers to weigh in on whether Toronto’s real estate market will rebound in the spring or whether a longer correction is under way.

One reader who has spent years watching the housing market believes that the historical value ladder has been distorted by the overbuilding of condos. Traditionally, people have climbed the ladder from condos to townhouses to semis to detached, he points out. They move from less desirable areas to better ones.

But he believes developers in Toronto have focused too much on “lifestyle” instead of “life” and there aren’t enough projects that appeal to people in all phases of life. Therefore, condo owners will have trouble selling their units and they won’t move up to single-family homes. Eventually, prices in the entire market will drop until a new balance is found.

“A correction is already under way,” in his opinion.

Comment: Except there is no real correction as of yet. Sales have dropped, but that is because of new mortgage rules. Once people save a bit more, they will be back at it. Prices have not dropped, even if some condos have seen small decreases. The market has changed, there is no more condo-townhouse-semi-detached path anymore. Many people do not want the big house in the ‘burbs. Many people want to live downtown, near work and play, in a condo. They do not want a yard or snow to shovel. The reasoning is flawed as it is based on past demographic patterns. But we do need more condos geared to people not in their 20s. Where is my dad going to go when he is 70? Not to the King Charlotte, I can tell you that!

But then there’s real estate agent Janice Weisfeld of Sutton Group-Associates Realty Inc.

She thinks the market will rebound in the spring if the weather forecasters’ predictions for an unusually snowy winter come to pass.

“Too much snow and cold may be the deciding factor for the ‘empty nesters’ to finally sell their home and move into a condo,” she says.

Comment: Actually no, it is not the snow that will dictate the spring market. It is whether or not first timers have saved up enough to counter the new mortgage rules. If so, the spring market will be chaotic and full of bidding wars again. If not, then we shall see…

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Contact the Jeffrey Team for more information – 416-388-1960

Laurin & Natalie Jeffrey are Toronto Realtors with Century 21 Regal Realty.
They did not write these articles, they just reproduce them here for people
who are interested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.

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  • Toronto’s Wealthy Buyers Dragging Up Home Prices For Everyone

    Rachel Mendle­son – Huff­in­g­ton Post

    High-income buy­ers are a dri­ving force behind Toronto’s boom­ing hous­ing mar­ket, fuel­ing demand for an extremely lim­ited sup­ply of prop­er­ties in desir­able areas, says one real estate broker.

    Accord­ing to Paul Maranger, a senior vice-president at Sotheby’s Inter­na­tional Realty, this year has seen a surge in activ­ity in the lux­ury real estate mar­ket in Toronto, as buy­ers increas­ingly chase a “Man­hat­tan type of lifestyle.”

    Toronto at the lux­ury level is not look­ing for value. They’re look­ing for con­ve­nience,” he said on Thurs­day. “Many of our clients who work in the finan­cial dis­trict, they’re work­ing incred­i­ble hours at the office, and they are will­ing to pay a sub­stan­tial pre­mium to not have to do any extra work.”

    Maranger was one of sev­eral real-estate experts made avail­able to reporters on a con­fer­ence call to dis­cuss the BMO Spring Hous­ing Report.

    When it comes to the chang­ing tastes of the wealthy, Maranger says the desire to walk to restau­rants and the the­atre is putting added pres­sure on prop­er­ties in the city cen­tre, and par­tic­u­larly single-family homes, which have become increas­ingly rare in Toronto due to a lack of avail­able space.

    Com­pared to the same period last year, Maranger says sales of “lux­ury” single-family homes ($2 mil­lion or more) in Toronto have so far increased by more than one-third, from 95 to 128.

    Demand has been par­tic­u­larly strong along the sub­way lines, says Maranger, who cited the recent sale of a home in the Sum­mer­hill neigh­bour­hood for more than $300,000 over the ask­ing price as evi­dence of this trend.

    For a city the size of Toronto, we are grossly under-serviced from a sub­way per­spec­tive,” he said. “What we’ll see as a result of that, and what we’re see­ing now, is a dis­pro­por­tion­ate demand, par­tic­u­larly along the Yonge sub­way cor­ri­dor. Buy­ers are will­ing to pay a sub­stan­tial pre­mium to be on that line, and cer­tainly on the [Bloor-Danforth] line.”

    This increase in activ­ity at the upper-end is rip­pling through the real-estate mar­ket, he says, push­ing up prices of single-family dwellings across the city.

    There cer­tainly is a Domino effect in the mar­ket­place,” he said, not­ing that demand for detached homes just under the lux­ury level has grown fever­ish, with bid­ding wars and mul­ti­ple offers becom­ing increas­ingly common.

    To get into the mar­ket­place now […] the entry level price point is about half a mil­lion dol­lars, which is a sub­stan­tial amount of money,” he added.

    This obser­va­tion adds weight to warn­ings of some observers, who have argued that grow­ing income inequal­ity may be ratch­et­ing up house prices on the whole, and pric­ing low and middle-income earn­ers out of the city centre.

    Demand for single-family homes at the high-end com­bined with what Maranger describes as the tight­est mar­ket he has seen in 15 years, has con­tributed to a boom in condo devel­op­ments.

    The recent increase in condo con­struc­tion — and damp­en­ing demand in the for­merly white hot Van­cou­ver mar­ket — have prompted some to ques­tion the fun­da­men­tals of the Toronto mar­ket. But Maranger pre­dicts activ­ity at the high end of the mar­ket will remain strong.

    We have an incred­i­bly strong base of high-income house­holds who work pre­dom­i­nantly in the finan­cial dis­trict, and in finan­cial law, edu­ca­tion and health care,” he said. “From a mid-to long-term per­spec­tive, Toronto is going to hold itself in very good stead in the lux­ury market.”

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    Con­tact the Jef­frey Team for more infor­ma­tion – 416−388−1960

    Lau­rin & Natalie Jef­frey are Toronto Real­tors with Cen­tury 21 Regal Realty.
    They did not write these arti­cles, they just repro­duce them here for peo­ple
    who are inter­ested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.

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