Tag Archives: economic uncertainty
Compared to global real estate markets, Canada is mostly average
Kit Kadlec – Canadian Real Estate Wealth
Canada’s recent housing price gains still only leave it in the middle of the pack globally, according to a ScotiaBank report out Tuesday.
House prices here have risen 85% since 1998, but that’s “relatively small” compared with some other global markets, said economist Adrienne Warren.
Ireland, for example, had prices gain 330% between 1992 and 2007, and despite three straight years of double-digit price decline since, it still has one of the largest overall price gain in the bank’s sample of 12 Western countries. Ireland’s average home price on the inflation-adjusted index is still up 149% since 1992.
Australian prices are up 114% since 1996, while UK prices are up 174% since 1995 – representing two of the other largest price gains in recent years for Western countries.
In contrast, the U.S. seems to be least overvalued, with prices back to mid-1990s levels, and down 31% from a 2005 peak. Japan is still recovering from its pre-90s boom, having real house prices drop 50% since 1991, according to Scotiabank’s inflation-adjusted index.
In the shorter term, Canada has had the best performance in price gain in 2011, rising 4.8% this past third quarter above the same average price in the third quarter in 2010.
“Canada falls in the middle of the pack,” said Warren in the report.
Only France, up 4.4%, and Switzerland, up 3.3%, also had price gains over that same period. Ireland was down 14.7% from last year, followed by a 8.9% decline in Spain and 7.5% slip in the U.S. prices.
The report was vague in predicting a more balanced Canadian real estate market in 2012.
“While the sector’s continued buoyancy is impressive, monthly data through November suggest prices have leveled off since the spring, with conditions in the majority of local markets in ‘balanced’ territory,” wrote Warren. “Ultra-low interest rates are still attracting buyers, but increased economic uncertainty combined with some recent slowing in the pace of hiring could dampen demand in the new year.”
Warren said that while the U.S. housing market is near its bottom, no turnaround is likely in the near future, due to weak economic conditions and tight lending restrictions that are keeping many out of the market.
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Contact the Jeffrey Team for more information – 416−388−1960
Laurin & Natalie Jeffrey are Toronto Realtors with Century 21 Regal Realty.
They did not write these articles, they just reproduce them here for people
who are interested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.
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Canada’s property market a standout amid global slump
Canoe.ca Money
Canada’s property market is cooling, but still stands out as one of the best performing in the developed world, according to a report by Scotia Economics.
Existing home prices rose 5% in the second quarter, the same pace as gains in the first quarter of the year, the bank’s Global Real Estate Report found. Figures for July and August point to stable sales and a leveling out of prices.
Out of the nine markets studied in the report only Canada, France and Switzerland recorded price gains in the second quarter, it said.
“In the majority of the major markets we track in North America, Europe and Australasia, inflation-adjusted home prices declined on a year-over-year basis in the second quarter of 2011,” said Adrienne Warren, senior economist and real estate specialist at Scotia Economics. “While Canada’s hot housing market also has begun to cool, it remains a notable outperformer.”
Warren said in many markets historically low interest rates coupled with a slump in prices has made homes more affordable. In normal times that would probably be enough to jump-start the market, she said.
However, these aren’t normal times and the ongoing uncertainty created by the financial crisis in Europe and high unemployment have convinced many consumers to save and pay off debt rather than make major purchases.
“Heightened economic uncertainty combined with recent signs of a loss of momentum in Canada’s jobs market could keep some potential buyers on the sidelines for the time being,” she said, adding that the bank is forecasting a slight slowdown in sales and flat prices for the rest of the year.
France so far has managed to buck the trend of slumping property prices in the euro zone, with real estate rising 5% year-over-year in the second quarter. Switzerland’s property prices rose 4%.
Elsewhere the slump showed little signs of slowing in the second quarter, with prices in Spain tumbling 10% after a 9% slide in the first quarter. Ireland’s property slide also accelerated with a 14% drop in the second quarter following a 12% decline in the first.
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Contact the Jeffrey Team for more information – 416−388−1960
Laurin & Natalie Jeffrey are Toronto Realtors with Century 21 Regal Realty.
They did not write these articles, they just reproduce them here for people
who are interested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.
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Why it’s the best time ever to be a Canadian
By many global measures we are a blessed bastion of privilege, peace, freedom—and big roomy houses
Macleans
We are Canada. At 144 years we are neither young nor old, as nations go. And nations do come and do go, it bears remembering. You don’t have to be very old to appreciate that the world map that occupied a corner of your childhood classroom is a relic of another age; that borders once drawn in blood aren’t indelible at all, they are just lines to be moved, or bent or erased by popular will. Yet, here we are, still in this together, and doing rather well.
Like any worthy anniversary, it is deserving of celebration but also of the appreciation that future years together aren’t guaranteed, they must be earned, and mutually agreed upon. Back when Canada was a mere pup of 115 years, Ralph Klein, then the brash young mayor of a brash young Calgary, called Canada, “perhaps the only country in the world held together by curiosity.” He asked if such a confederation of interests and regions can endure. “[N]o one is quite prepared to give up on her yet,” he said, “as if we all have some lingering desire to see how this ongoing exercise in nation-building ends.”
And why not? No. 143 was not the easiest of years, but it was largely free of any soul-sucking existential debate on Canada’s future. There was a federal election, and no one died in the process. Economic uncertainty lingers, but we emerged stronger than the year before, and healthier in most every sense than a long list of wealthy, developed nations. And, yes, let’s not lose sight of that inarguable fact: we are rich.
Read on. Our Canada Day gift to you is a gentle reminder that by many global measures we are a blessed bastion of privilege, peace, freedom—and big roomy houses.
REAL ESTATE: We have the roomiest homes on earth
You’d never know it from watching MTV Cribs, a program where rapper 50 Cent once showed off his 50,000-sq.-foot Connecticut mansion (18 bedrooms, 25 bathrooms, an elevator, two billiard rooms), but the average Canadian family actually has their American counterparts beat when it comes to living large. A recent survey by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) found the average Canadian home boasts 2.5 rooms per person, more than the 2.3 room average in the U.S., and the highest among the 34 OECD member countries, where the average was just 1.6 rooms.
Canada’s reigning status as a country of big, roomy houses is a direct result of our hot real estate market, which escaped the global economic downturn relatively unscathed. While the U.S. has yet to recover from the subprime mortgage crisis and the subsequent recession, Canadians have continued to take advantage of rock-bottom interest rates to buy bigger and better properties, forcing prices ever higher. That includes first-time homebuyers who abandoned cramped rental suites for more spacious condos, and existing homeowners who jumped at the opportunity to sell into a hot market and move into their dream homes. More impressive is that Canadians have managed all this while working an average of just 1,699 hours a year. That’s well below what the average American works (1,768 hours) and the OECD average (1,739 hours).
The country’s infatuation with home ownership has been a boon for real estate agents, lawyers, house “fluffers” and contractors of all stripes. Meanwhile, retailers like Rona and Canadian Tire are riding a resulting wave of DIY home improvement efforts. (It’s no coincidence that when Ottawa sought to prop up the economy in 2009, it introduced a popular tax credit of up to $1,350 for Canadians who spent money on home renovations.) Canada has even managed to accomplish a rare feat in the world of television after HGTV Canada launched the program Property Virgins in 2006, only to have the series expanded to the U.S. market the following season (Canadian viewers were also treated to their own version of MTV Cribs around the same time).
But before we get too cocky, it’s worth recalling that we got here largely by borrowing a lot of money. Canadian household debt levels now sit at 146.9 per cent of income. That’s significantly higher than the 130 per cent reached in the U.S. prior to the crash (it has since fallen to 113 per cent). With Canadian homeowners increasingly stretched thin, some economists are worried about the country’s ability to withstand another economic shock. On the other hand, cash-strapped Canadians will always have the option of renting out an extra room to make ends meet.
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Contact the Jeffrey Team for more information – 416−388−1960
Laurin & Natalie Jeffrey are Toronto Realtors with Century 21 Regal Realty.
They did not write these articles, they just reproduce them here for people
who are interested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.
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