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Tag Archives: First Time Buyers

Toronto real estate: Downtown condos lead broad rise in prices

Susan Pigg – Toronto Star

Sales of homes across the GTA slipped by 2.1% in April, but prices were up 2%, as the usu­ally hot spring mar­ket suf­fered through another wet, cold month.

Sur­pris­ingly, down­town con­dos saw the biggest spike in prices — up 5.6% to an aver­age of $379,266 — and a decline in sales of just 1.3% over last April, accord­ing to sta­tis­tics released Fri­day by the Toronto Real Estate Board.

Sub­ur­ban condo sales were the flip side of the coin, how­ever, in a mar­ket that con­tin­ues to glide to a soft land­ing rather than the dev­as­tat­ing crash many eco­nom­ics and hous­ing experts had pre­dicted just last fall.

Com­ment: I guess it goes to show that the econ­o­mists were sim­ply wrong. Hous­ing experts did not pre­dict a crash, only the econ­o­mists. Those in the real estate indus­try pre­dicted a slower INCREASE in sales and prices. As I keep say­ing, why does any­one believe or trust the econ­o­mists any­more, they have been wrong for 10+ years now.

Resale condo prices were down almost 6% across the 905 regions, to an aver­age of $273,832. Sales of sub­ur­ban con­dos took the biggest hit of any hous­ing sec­tor across the GTA in April — next to sales of detached homes in the 416 region — drop­ping 7.3% in April.

The con­do­minium apart­ment seg­ment in the City of Toronto was a key dri­ver of price growth in April,” which sug­gests that first-time buy­ers are out house hunt­ing again, almost a year after Ottawa moved to tighten mort­gage lend­ing rules, said TREB pres­i­dent Ann Han­nah in a statement.

Com­ment: That and condo list­ings rose while new projects stalled. Easy to see what pushed resale condo sales up.

Econ­o­mist Will Dun­ning points out, how­ever, that this April had 22 week­days — when sales tend to be recorded by TREB — com­pared to 20 in 2012. When sales fig­ures are adjusted for sea­sonal fluc­tu­a­tions, the sales down­turn of 2% reported by TREB is prob­a­bly closer to 14%, he noted.

Com­ment: For­get the stu­pid extra day / fewer days BS, that is stu­pid. Not until this year did we split hairs that fine. April is April, can we please just leave it like that. And that is just try­ing to make a good news num­ber look bad by con­duct­ing some voodoo math on it. I am sure I could pick a bunch of other months over the past year or two and do the same false adjust­ing and arrive at num­bers that look bet­ter than they should. But how do 10% extra days turn into 700% worse sales? That is some really inter­est­ing math!

Most inter­est­ing about the condo num­bers, said Dun­ning, is that the total num­ber of units for sale in the 416 region was up 8%, help­ing keep the mar­ket sta­ble, while there was a 16% jump in the 905 regions, now a buyer’s market.

Com­ment: Amaz­ing, list­ings were up 8% and sales rose 5.6% – not that there is a con­nec­tion there or anything…

There’s still not a lot of urgency in the mar­ket­place,” said down­town real­tor Andrew la Fleur, who focuses largely on the down­town condo mar­ket. “There’s still a lot of wait-and-see mindset.”

Com­ment: And sell­ers are not blinking.

Detached homes took the biggest hit in April. Sales in the City of Toronto plum­meted almost 12% over last April, although prices were up 2.5% to an aver­age of $852,090, accord­ing to TREB’s fig­ures. That may reflect, at least in part, the lack of enough detached homes on the mar­ket to meet demand, which has been an ongo­ing issue, espe­cially in Toronto, for three or four years and has con­tributed to bid­ding wars — and esca­lat­ing prices even in a soft­en­ing mar­ket — in cov­eted neigh­bour­hoods close to down­town jobs and tran­sit lines.

Sales of detached homes in the 905 were up 2.5% year over year, and prices were up 2.2% to an aver­age of $588,784, accord­ing to TREB.

Semi-detached homes in the 416 region saw a 5.5% sales down­turn in April, year over year, but prices were up 2.4% to an aver­age of $595,398. In the sub­urbs, the sale of semis were up 1.3% and prices up 4.3%, to an aver­age sale price of $410,739.

Town­house sales declined 3.6% in the city, but the aver­age sales price was $433,710, up 2.3% over last April. In the 905 region, town­house trans­ac­tions declined by 1.2%, although prices were up 3.5%, to an aver­age sales price of $375,269.

Despite an unre­lent­ing win­ter that lin­gered through most of April, damp­en­ing the enthu­si­asm of both buy­ers and sell­ers, some of whom were hold­ing out for their pricey land­scap­ing to be in bloom, new list­ings were up almost 11% year over year.

Com­ment: I bet we see a pos­tive May, finally some nice weather!

The time it takes to sell a house climbed slightly, to 23 days com­pared to 21 days in April of 2012. Con­dos, on the other hand, are aver­ag­ing 32 days on the market.

—————————————————————————————————–
Con­tact the Jef­frey Team for more infor­ma­tion – 416−388−1960

Lau­rin & Natalie Jef­frey are Toronto Real­tors with Cen­tury 21 Regal Realty.
They did not write these arti­cles, they just repro­duce them here for peo­ple
who are inter­ested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.

—————————————————————————————————–

Where are Toronto’s prime real estate pockets?

Carolyn Ireland – The Globe and Mail

Toronto’s capricious spring real estate market has lots of people feeling perplexed.

Sales have been tumbling for months in a row but prices have held on or continued to climb.

Comment: We all know by now that sales have fallen 10-15% every month since the new mortgage rules came into play. Once we hit July and are comparing months with the same rules, suddenly sales will stop falling – or even rise. And this whole discussion will vanish. Prices have not just held on, they have risen 4-8% month after month, even with fewer sales.

Some houses draw 11 bids; others see their offer dates come and go.

Comment: More because the demand has dropped and too many people think too highly of their houses and expect to get bidding wars that do not materialize. People will only fight for something worth fighting for. It is not a comment on the market as a whole, just on some sellers and their agents.

Buyers question whether prices are finally on the verge of a decline, and they only have to look as far as Vancouver to see people who bought last year only to see their new house slide in value in 2013.

Comment: Seriously? Vancouver has NOTHING to do with Toronto, and their values have been dropping for years. People have called for Toronto prices to fall for a decade now – not going to happen. Prices will continue to rise as demand outstrips supply. With a constant flow of people moving to Toronto, they need somewhere to live. Investors will still buy condos when the vacancy rate is under 1% and there are multiple offers on rentals. Houses still get bidding wars. Every couple that buys a new condo will likely want a house for their family in the future. Mortgage rates will continue to stay low for the next few years. Where is the downward pressure coming from? Nowhere…

Move-up buyers don’t have it any easier: They may buy a grand new property and get caught in the uncomfortable squeeze of not being able to sell their current house or condo.

Comment: Not if they have anything decent and are realistic about their price.

So for people who want to buy or trade up now, one strategy that makes sense is to put a greater emphasis than ever on finding a stellar neighbourhood. These pockets tend to hold up better in a market slump and are likely to rise higher still if prices resume their climb.

Golden neighbourhoods have attributes that make them great places to live, regardless of what the market is doing.

Comment: Really? Not like real estate agents have been preaching “location, location, location” since, like, forever.

Their solid schools, good housing stock, desirable shopping and proximity to a pleasant park or a stretch of shoreline will make them comfortable places to ride out any potential downturn.

Republic of Rathnelly

A few choice streets make up the Republic of Rathnelly, which is a cossetted pocket west of Avenue Road and north of Dupont.

The rolling and curvy streets of Rathnelly Avenue, Poplar Plains Crescent, Cottingham Street and McMaster Avenue make up the counter-culture republic, which was founded on July 1, 1967. On a lark, a band of residents declared independence from the rest of Canada after helping to successfully stave off the Spadina Expressway. They still mark the anniversary with a street party.

These days, more earnest parents are eager to pack their kids off to Brown Junior Public School, which offers English and French immersion classes, and has a reputation for academic excellence. It’s also a platinum-certifited eco school that promotes “anything but car” days and litterless lunches.

The houses are mostly solid, but unpretentious, detached and semi-detached brick dwellings from the Victorian era.

Even the climate is rarified in parts of the republic: Houses built part way up the escarpment formed by the shoreline of the ancient Lake Iroquois have reverse ravine lots which benefit from a slightly warmer micro-climate that allows flowers to bloom a little bit earlier than they do in surrounding gardens.

Comment: Sure, but this is one of the most expensive and exclusive neighbourhoods in Toronto. Average prices are multi-million and listings are very rare. Kind of an odd one to suggest… This is above the pay grade of most people, and likely all first-time buyers.

Lansing

This little corner of the city is still quite bucolic considering how quickly one can hop onto Highway 401 from here.

The area is just above the highway, with Yonge Street to the east, Bathurst to the west, and Burnett Avenue running along the northern boundary. The Don River Valley cuts through the area and separates it from the well-known Earl Bales Park, where legions of kids have taken to the bunny hill for their first run on skis.

There’s still an abundance of greenery, despite the fact that many small bungalows have been torned down and replaced with newly built dwellings with main floor family rooms and cathedral ceilings. Some of the houses even have ravine lots.

Residents can walk to bustling Yonge and Sheppard to eat, shop and yawp at the construction of fast-rising condo towers.

Schools include the private Little Owl Preschool Elementary, University Preparatory Academy, Don Valley Preparatory Academy, the Toronto Cheder and Cameron Public School.

Comment: My sister-in-law’s family lives here, nice spot!

Dufferin Grove

Dufferin Grove Park and the nearby Dufferin Mall had a pretty nefarious reputation in decades past but they’ve long since undergone remarkable transformations. But even while the park was the site of sketchy activity and the mall was rather tattered, the imposing Victorian and Edwardian houses to the east tended to attract upstanding urbanites who liked the lovely, leafy streets and the proximity to College Street.

For years the solid housing stock drew writers and university professors who could afford property values that lagged behind those of the Annex and High Park. Today, hordes of young families are attracted by more moderate prices around the $600,000 mark.

It’s still a great investment, it’s a very good neighbourhood. Meanwhile, the hippest boutiques, galleries and cafes of have migrated farther west and now sit just a short stroll away. Those sections of Bloor, College and Dundas are gentrifying and changing so much.

Comment: No news here, this stretch has been getting more and more popular for years now. Ever since residents took the park back for families, with farmers’ markets and more. Check out dufferinpark.ca for more.

The sweet spot of Leslieville

For people who crave French brioche, vintage coffee tables and the softly poached eggs of free-run chickens on Sundays, Leslieville is neighbourhood gold and the intersection of Queen and Carlaw is at the centre.

Streets running north and east of the intersection of Queen and Carlaw are considered the most desirable. Avenues such as Boston, Brooklyn, Bertmount and Coady provide quick access to a stool at the window of Te Aro Coffee Roasters. Parents can stop in after the daily run to Morse Street Junior Public School.

Comment: I have been preaching the gospel of Carlaw Avenue for years now, I love the east end. I grew up on Broadview, so this is my home turf.

Allenby

Allenby Junior Public School is a big draw here. According to the Toronto District School Board, the documented history of this slice of Toronto dates back to the 1400s when a tribe of Huron Iroquois settled in a longhouse village. The school is popular for its French Immersion program for kids in Grades 3 through 6.

If you stand on the northwest corner of Avenue Road and Eglinton, then venture into the mannerly blocks north and west, you’re in Allenby, where families vie to buy Tudor-style houses on such streets as Briar Hill Avenue, Roselawn Avenue, Willowbank Avenue and Castle Knock Road.

Many of the houses have been enlarged but the neighbourhood retains a traditional feel.

The shopping strip along Eglinton West is packed with upscale boutiques.

Comment: Another very high end location, between Wanless Park and Lawrence Park. You best be ready to spend a million or more to get into this neighbourhood.

Fallingbrook

Sitting atop the Scarborough Bluffs, Fallingbrook is a niche within the neighbourhood of Birch Cliff, which is in turn a pocket within Scarborough. This area is replete with curving streets named Fallingbrook: If you’re invited to dinner there, either rely on the GPS or leave extra time to distinguish between Fallingbrook Road, Drive, Woods and Crescent.

Fallingbrook Road runs just west of the rolling golf greens of the Toronto Hunt Club and south of Kingston Road.

The houses lining the promontory above Lake Ontario range from gracious 100-year-old mansions to renovated mid-century dwellings and newly built architectural wonders. Houses on streets such as Courcelette, Blantyre and any of the Fallingbrooks are highly sought-after.

In many ways, the neighbourhood seems like an extension of The Beaches, just the other side of Victoria Park. Residents of this area have quick access to Queen Street East shopping but fewer day-trippers to contend with on the weekends.

Comment: Staying north of Kingston Road here cuts your price almost in half. And there are still bargains to be had on Courcelette or Blantyre, even south of Kingston. I still kick myself over a semi I was literally a couple hours too late on… could have bought it on Blantyre for $380k – worth a couple hundred grand more now. Always one that got away…

—————————————————————————————————–
Contact the Jeffrey Team for more information – 416-388-1960

Laurin & Natalie Jeffrey are Toronto Realtors with Century 21 Regal Realty.
They did not write these articles, they just reproduce them here for people
who are interested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.

—————————————————————————————————–


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  • How much for a house in Eglinton West?

    Carolyn Ireland – The Globe and Mail

    Arie and Sabina Diamant are standing in a dark and cluttered basement, trying to figure out why the floor is slanting dramatically towards the centre of the house.

    “This slope is intense,” says Mr. Diamant. “It’s crazy.”

    Upstairs, they tour the main floor and its kitchen, which appears to date to the 1950s. The second-floor bedrooms are overflowing with clothes, plastic flowers and porcelain figurines.

    “There aren’t too many I would show this to,” says their real estate agent, Ira Jelinek of Harvey Kalles Real Estate Ltd. “Most people would say ‘get me out of here.’”

    But the Diamants are 20-something first-time buyers who are not easily deterred when it comes to making a foray into Toronto’s real estate market.

    “This is a project,” says Mr. Diamant. “But projects pay off.”

    The husband and wife have been searching for the right property on and off for a year. Like so many buyers these days, they’re trying to figure out where the market is heading and how they can make the best use of the cash they’ve saved for a down payment. They want to buy a house to live in but they would also view any property they purchase as an asset they expect to rise in value.

    Comment: Same as the past 17 years, the market is heading up. Month after month, year after year, prices keep rising. And they will continue to do so. Even if there is a drop – which I do not think for a million years will happen – prices will 100% be higher 5 years from now. There is nothing to send prices down, nothing.

    They like their chances in the spring of 2013. The hunt doesn’t feel as competitive as it did a year ago. The latest numbers from the Toronto Real Estate Board show sales in the first half of March fell 11% in the Greater Toronto Area compared with the same period in 2012. Listings edged up less than 2% compared with the same period last year. That follows a February that saw sales drop 15% in the GTA compared with the same month last year, while listings slid 12%.

    Comment: Yes, fewer sales mean fewer buyers, definitely a better time to be house shopping. Prices are 4% higher than they were last year, though. So that $500,000 house is now $520,000. But less pressure and fewer bidding wars.

    “No matter what anyone says about the market, definitely it has tapered off,” says Mr. Diamant when I join the couple and their agent for an afternoon of viewing. “I think people are still trying to figure out what the market really is.”

    This semi-detached house near Oakwood and Vaughan is the second property of the day.

    The first was a townhouse with high ceilings and chic decor just north of Eglinton. Everybody likes the wide plank hardwood floors and the ensuite bathroom in the bedroom. They’re impressed when they find out that the ensuite is in the guest bedroom – the master is even more sumptuous.

    The main floor living area seems a little small – especially in a house listed for $679,000. They also don’t see a way to add value to the property beyond the potential appreciation of the market.

    Comment: So? Don’t add value, just live in it and enjoy it. People forget that a house, first and foremost, is a place to live. Not an investment. Appreciation is simply a nice bonus. But planning to boost your value, that leads to a lot of headaches, trust me.

    A few weeks earlier the couple had tabled a bid on a bungalow up the street with an asking price of $750,000. The owner wasn’t holding back offers but three parties quickly stepped up so a mini-contest broke out. The Diamants offered $765,000 but lost out to a triumphant bid of $782,000.

    After that they struck a deal to buy a house in the $650,000 range but their offer was conditional on inspection. Once they got a contractor in and found out how much work was required, they pulled out.

    Comment: Like I said about trying to improve a house, it can be a lot of work…

    “They’re patient,” says Mr. Jelinek. “They’re not getting deterred.”

    The couple is focusing their search near Eglinton Ave. and the Allen Expressway because they like the proximity to the Eglinton West subway station and the potential for property values to rise when the planned Eglinton-Scarborough Crosstown light rail transit line is up and running.

    Houses in the area are also more affordable than those on streets closer to Avenue Road to the east.

    The Diamants don’t worry about buying into a market that may weaken further. They like the forced savings aspect of home ownership, says Mr. Diamant, and they would rather put their money towards equity than continue to rent. At the same time, they don’t feel in any rush to buy. The trend in the market is downwards, in their opinion, and the longer they wait, the larger the down payment they can save. Interest rates don’t appear to be heading up any time soon.

    Comment: Don’t worry about buying into a market that will weaken. It won’t. It hasn’t yet. Not sure what “weaken further” means when the market has not weakened since the early 1990s. Sales volume dropped to match the 5-10 year trend, whoo. Prices are still rising and we are still sitting on 80-85,000 sales a year. Not sure I would call that a market that is weakening.

    At the start of their search they considered buying a condo unit, but they couldn’t see the value. They’d have to pay about the same amount for a condo as they would for the second property we see – a three-bedroom house with an asking price of $499,000.

    As they look around, they can easily see past the dated decor and closed-in rooms.

    “I’m ripping it apart in my head,” says Mr. Diamant. “This is a house we could grow into. A condo is a very immediate fix.”

    Mr. Jelinek pulls out his research showing that last April another semi on the same street sold for $470,000. The buyer did a quick renovation and sold it again in July for $620,000.

    The agent sees potential in this house because of its wide lot and decent interior space.

    “This would cost nothing to knock down,” he says, pounding on the wall separating the living room from the hallway.

    Outside, the property has a wide lot with a large garden on the side and a small backyard. The side lot is generally considered less desirable, so Mr. Jelinek sees an opportunity to bargain down the price.

    “These are the ones we really like – the gems in the rough. They’re really hard to find,” says the agent.

    He estimates the couple would need to put in “a buck or a buck twenty.” That’s real estate parlance for renovation costs of $100,000 to $120,000.

    The basement, tilted floor and all, could be rented out in its current condition for $750 a month, Mr. Jelinek figures.

    He pulls out his cell phone to talk to the listing agent. He wants to get a feel for how attached the seller is to the asking price and whether the agent can shed any light on the slope, among other things.

    She can’t say what’s causing the slope but she is receptive to an offer.

    “Put something on paper – we’ll work with you,” she says.

    Mr. Jelinek advises the Diamants to put in a conditional offer – then bring in their own inspector and contractors.

    “What I like to do is tie it up,” he says. “It’s good to have that control.”

    Comment: No, tying up a property for the sake of it is stupid and rude. Buy it if you want it, check it out and make sure. But liking to tie up a property? Those are the agents that give the rest of us a bad name.

    If the offer is accepted, the strategy keeps the property out of the hands of competing buyers for a few days, but the deal can always be scuttled if the house doesn’t pass inspection.

    Mr. Jelinek ushers them out the door.

    “Let’s do the paperwork before someone entrepreneurial like you finds it.”

    Micro-hood: Eglinton West – Good transit options and getting better

    The streets near Eglinton and the Allen Expressway have long had the benefit of quick access to major highways, but they’ve lagged behind more fashionable neighbourhoods in other ways.

    The mid-century bungalows and semi-detached houses were a bit dowdy, while the shops along Eglinton lacked the cachet of the upscale boutiques to the east, on the strip between Bathurst Street and Avenue Road.

    But a renewal has been taking place near the intersection of Vaughan Road, Oakwood Avenue and Belvidere Avenue, which is known as Five Points. In recent years younger families have been moving in because the area has remained relatively affordable and the Eglinton West subway station provides access to a quick subway trip downtown.

    Some of the smaller, older bungalows have been torn down to make room for larger, newly built houses.

    The neighbourhood transformation is set to receive a boost from a massive transit project. Metrolinx aims to have the Eglinton-Scarborough Crosstown light rail transit from Black Creek to Kennedy Station running by 2020.

    The pocket has long been home to a mix of families: the Jewish community that has spread out beyond Holy Blossom Temple and Beth Tzedec Congregation has long populated this niche. The south campus of Leo Baeck Day School is located on Arlington Avenue. Cedarvale Park is also a draw for families.

    Through the years, the neighbourhood has seen waves of immigrants come through, with lots of arrivals from Italy and Portugal in the past century, followed by a swelling Spanish-speaking population. For first-time buyers, it’s still possible to find a solid house that could benefit from a rejuvenation – though these are becoming more scarce.

    —————————————————————————————————–
    Contact the Jeffrey Team for more information – 416-388-1960

    Laurin & Natalie Jeffrey are Toronto Realtors with Century 21 Regal Realty.
    They did not write these articles, they just reproduce them here for people
    who are interested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.

    —————————————————————————————————–


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