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Tag Archives: government of canada

Low mortgage rates not an invitation to ratchet up debt

Garry Marr – Financial Post

Don’t tell anyone — it seems we’re not supposed to talk about it too loudly — but mortgage rates have come crashing down again.

Ratesupermarket.ca says the fixed rate on a five-year mortgage has dropped to 2.94%, below the 2.99% rate that caused a furor earlier this year with Finance Minister Jim Flaherty warning banks not to get too aggressive with pricing.

“The record-breaking rate, offered in Ontario, appeared July 24 and is expected to return as the precedent has been set,” says Kelvin Mangaroo, president of Ratesupermaket.ca, who says his own surveys show the push is back on for a five-year mortgage.

Even the 10-year fixed-rate mortgage is getting more enticing, with a guaranteed rate of 3.76% for the next decade.

Vince Gaetano, a principal at monstermortgage.ca, says a number of lenders have quietly dropped back to 2.99%.

“The banks are not publishing anything yet but there are a couple that in certain situations will go to 2.99% on a five-year,” Mr. Gaetano says.

The real question is why rates aren’t even lower. The Bank of Canada may want consumers to take a tougher stand against their debt, but the bond market, which affects mortgage pricing, continues to offer record-low yields.

The spread between the posted rate on a five-year mortgage of 5.24% and a government of Canada five-year bond is almost 400 basis points — the highest it’s been since the financial crisis in 2008.

“I truly believe [the real estate] market has softened and the banks want to make more margin,” Mr. Gaetano says. “The volume is just not going to give them their profits.”

Farhaneh Haque, director of mortgage advice at TD Canada Trust, says there is definitely discounting or as she calls it, “relationship pricing,” but adds the bank’s costs are not based solely on bond yields.

“The cost of funds is impacted by liquidity premiums,” she says. “You don’t see that necessarily in the bond yields.”

There is also an ongoing threat from Mr. Flaherty of even tougher rules if the banks get too aggressive in their pricing.

“We want to make sure, in light of all the guidelines we’ve had from the government, that we are not getting into the price wars that the banks were in in the earlier part of this year,” Ms. Haque says.

The problem is these rates continue to be tempting for consumers, although the slowdown in housing sales in some major markets over the past three months indicates the lure may not be having the same effect.

But how do you say no to these rates, especially if you have a mountain of debt? This may be the best time ever to consolidate debt, if you can tame your spending at the same time.

It’s not clear consumers are doing that. Mr. Gaetano reports a rush to refinance, with many consumers pushing their home-equity lines of credit to 80% of their home’s value ahead of new rules from the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions that limit that percentage to 65% for HELOCs.

Craig Alexander, chief economist at Toronto-Dominion Bank, said the bond market reflects the increased fear over Europe and the global economy. He says it can’t last.

“The level of yields don’t make any sense,” Mr. Alexander says.

“Traditionally, five-year mortgage rates have a tight correlation with government bond yields. We are in an atypical environment, the level of bond yield is so exceptionally low it doesn’t appear to be sustainable. If you think about it, after you strip out inflation, investors are getting a negative return.”

Mr. Alexander says there is no question that while investors face challenges in today’s interest-rate environment, debtors have great opportunity. But he worries that people will use this opportunity to ratchet up their debt.

“What we don’t want is the level of rates to encourage people to take on new debt,” Mr. Alexander says. “Don’t abuse [this opportunity], take advantage of it.”

That’s the message Mr. Alexander says consumers should take away from the current situation. It’s unclear if everybody will interpret the message of low rates the same way.

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Contact the Jeffrey Team for more information – 416-388-1960

Laurin & Natalie Jeffrey are Toronto Realtors with Century 21 Regal Realty.
They did not write these articles, they just reproduce them here for people
who are interested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.

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Mortgage insurance needs to be returned to roots

Boyd Erman – Globe and Mail

Mortgage insurance is on its way to being mortgage insurance once again.

No longer should it be boat-loan insurance, or vacation-funding insurance, backed by the Canadian taxpayer. The package of mortgage reforms unveiled by the federal government Monday goes some lengths to ensuring that’s true, but there’s more that can be done.

The end result should be that the people of Canada, in the guise of the government and Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp., will still co-sign a high-ratio mortgage for their fellow Canadians, provided it is used to pay for a home, and provided that loan is paid down steadily until the risk to taxpayers is gone.

That’s the upshot of the new mortgage rules announced by Finance Minister Jim Flaherty. It’s welcome news for any Canadian who wonders why she or he should be on the hook for a neighbour’s flashy lifestyle should that neighbour decide to renege on the debts racked up to buy toys under the auspices of a home equity withdrawal.

That’s not what mortgage insurance was designed to do when it was introduced in 1954. The goal was to lower the cost of mortgages so people could buy homes. It was a means to a social end.

In the intervening half century, it’s been steadily co-opted. Mortgage insurance increasingly has become a way to keep the cost of loans for all sorts of other purposes down. The house was no longer the object of the exercise. It was simply the collateral used to free up cash for other spending, all backed by default insurance that is explicitly guaranteed by the government of Canada and by extension, every Canadian.

Home equity loans are the poster child for this, having jumped 170% in the past 10 years. While CMHC offered insurance on those loans, most banks weren’t yet using it.

But the cash in the home could also be accessed via a CMHC-insured loan for refinancing when the mortgage comes due, something that Canadians are doing to the tune of more than $40-billion a year of late, or through simply by putting up only a tiny down payment and taking a long amortization that left room in the family budget for trips, TVs and the like. In the meantime, the Canadian taxpayer is taking the risk of default and, by doing so, subsidizing those lifestyle choices.

It’s next to impossible to say with any certainty how much money is funnelled out of home equity into such purchases, but a survey commissioned by the Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals gives a sense. The association estimated that about $46-billion in equity takeouts through refinancings last year, about $13.5-billion was for debt consolidation, $15-billion was for renovations, $6-billion for education and “other spending,” $7.5-billion was for investments and $4-billion for other purposes.

In other words, much of that money was used for things that have nothing to do with housing. To be sure, not all of that would be CMHC-insured lending, and not all of it would be funding so-called bad debt used for current consumption. Some of it is for investments, and some for education, and some for no doubt needed renovations that upgrade the national housing stock. But the consolidation of presumably higher-rate debt suggests a lot of consumer loans are getting rolled into mortgages.

The resulting risk to Canadians from mortgage insurance stands at more than $519-billion, based on CMHC’s last estimate of its 2010 insurance in force tally. The pace of growth is incredible. In 2006, the total was $291.4-billion.

There’s still work to do if the government wants to ensure that the half a trillion dollars that Canadians are on the hook for through our explicit backstop for CMHC and other mortgage insurers is just home-related lending.

Government-backed insurance for home equity lines of credit may be gone, but even with the new rules, you can walk into a bank and withdraw all but 15% of the equity in your home. That would put you back into insured mortgage territory, which begins once your equity drops below 20%.

The logical thing would be to move the refinancing limit to preserve 20% of home equity, the limit for mandatory mortgage insurance purposes. That would mean no equity takeouts until the taxpayer’s risk is taken care of. We’ll get you into a home. But once you’re in, job one is getting to a point where you don’t need the subsidy any more.

That risks cutting out legitimate uses for refinancing cash, such as using lower-rate home-backed borrowing to fund the things that make Canada a better country, like education, investment and needed renovations.

But there’s a way to address that problem, just as Ottawa has done with tax writeoffs and registered retirement savings plan withdrawals. All the government has to say is show us the receipts.

———————————————————————————————————————
Contact the Jeffrey Team for more information – 416-388-1960

Laurin & Natalie Jeffrey are Toronto Realtors with Century 21 Regal Realty.
They did not write these articles, they just reproduce them here for people
who are interested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.

———————————————————————————————————————

Housing and the Economy

CMHC Housing Outlook

Whether it is the construction of new dwellings, or the rental, sale or renovation of existing homes, housing plays a dynamic and crucial role in the economy. Housing-related economic activity accounted for $307 billion in 2009, over one-fifth of Canada’s total gross domestic product.

The impact of housing on the economy is far-reaching, creating economic activity and employment across a wide range of sectors.

The residential construction sector is comprised of numerous labour-intensive small businesses — some 71,000 residential construction firms and 158,000 specialty trade contractors in 2009 — that can enter and exit the sector with relative ease, thanks in part to the relatively modest investment in fixed capital required for prospective firms and the extensive use of subcontracting.

These factors make housing an attractive economic and job creation tool. Canada’s Economic Action Plan in Budget 2009 provided a total of $7.8 billion in tax relief and funding of actions to stimulate the economy through housing. When provincial contributions are taken into account, the total stimulus value is $9.2 billion.

The Government of Canada plays a significant role in housing, working with a wide range of provincial, territorial, municipal, Aboriginal, industry and other stakeholders to improve housing outcomes for those Canadians whose housing needs cannot be met in the marketplace. Examples of this involvement include a commitment in 2008 of $1.9 billion over five years to invest in housing and alleviate homelessness; Canada’s Economic Action Plan (Budget 2009) which announced a one-time investment of more than $2 billion over two years to build new and repair existing social housing, and up to $2 billion over two years in low-cost loans to municipalities through CMHC to fund housing-related municipal infrastructure projects.

Housing plays a central role in the lives and finances of Canadian households. Real estate — which includes principal residences and second homes—accounts for over 40% of the assets of households.

The greater the affordability, security of tenure, choice and quality of accommodation, the greater the likelihood of positive educational performance, skills development and employment success.

The response to the recent financial and economic turmoil has shown that Canada’s housing system has strength and resilience as well as flexibility. The high standard of housing that the great majority of Canadians enjoy demonstrates that the system is working; however, some Canadians still face difficulties in securing acceptable housing.

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Contact the Jeffrey Team for more information  -  416-388-1960

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