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Tag Archives: home purchases

Sales Volume Down While Prices Still Rise

Toronto Realtors release monthly resale market figures

Greater Toronto Realtors reported 9,422 home sales through the Toronto MLS system in June 2012. The number of transactions was down by 5.4% in comparison to June 2011. The year-over-year decline was largest in the City of Toronto, where sales were down by 13% compared to June 2011. Sales in the rest of the Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) market area were comparable to a year ago.

Comment: As much as I am surprised by sales volume going down, it really is just a return to normality. Years back, the usual cycle had the summer being pretty dead for real estate. Then things exploded and the market stayed constant through the year. Maybe we just getting back to a more normal state of affairs.

“Buyers continue to face the substantial upfront cost associated with the unfair Toronto Land Transfer Tax,” said TREB President Ann Hannah. “Recent polling by TREB suggests that many households are considering home purchases outside of the City of Toronto to avoid paying the Land Transfer Tax. This goes a long way in explaining the disproportionate decline in sales in the City versus surrounding regions.”

The average selling price in June was $508,622 – up by 7.3% compared to June 2011. The mortgage payment associated with the average priced home in June, assuming 5% down and a five-year fixed rate mortgage amortized over 25 years, would account for approximately 35% of the average household’s income in the GTA after adding property tax and utility payments.

“According to new mortgage lending guidelines set out by Finance Minister Jim Flaherty, the GTA housing market remains affordable. The share of the average household’s income going toward major home ownership payments for the average priced home remains below the 39% ceiling recently announced by Mr. Flaherty,” said Jason Mercer, TREB’s Senior Manager of Market Analysis.

“The average household in the GTA continues to benefit from a considerable amount of flexibility to account for higher interest rates moving forward,” continued Mercer.

City of Toronto (“416″)
2012 Sales: 3,520 | Avg Price: $554,077 | New Listings: 6,742
2011 Sales: 4,053 | Avg Price: $511,591 | New Listings: 6,102

Rest of GTA (“905″)
2012 Sales: 5,902 | Avg Price: $481,512 | New Listings: 9,937
2011 Sales: 5,906 | Avg Price: $448,579 | New Listings: 8,653

GTA
2012 Sales: 9,422 | Avg Price: $508,622 | New Listings: 16,679
2011 Sales: 9,959 | Avg Price: $474,223 | New Listings: 14,755

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Contact the Jeffrey Team for more information – 416-388-1960

Laurin & Natalie Jeffrey are Toronto Realtors with Century 21 Regal Realty.
They did not write these articles, they just reproduce them here for people
who are interested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.

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Canadian home sales rise, prices stable

CBC News

The aver­age price of a home sold in Canada hit $324,928 in August, roughly in line with the same month a year ago, the Cana­dian Real Estate Asso­ci­a­tion said Wednesday.

The aver­age price was higher or sta­ble on a yearly basis in two-thirds of the cities where CREA tracks data. On a monthly basis, the aver­age price was slightly lower than the aver­age sell­ing price of $330,351 in July 2010.

It is also the third con­sec­u­tive month that aver­age sale prices have dropped after increas­ing at a tor­rid pace for the pre­vi­ous year.

The num­ber of new list­ings on the agency’s Mul­ti­ple List­ings Ser­vice was more than dou­ble than the num­ber of sales. A 2–1 ratio of list­ings to sales is gen­er­ally viewed as a “bal­anced” hous­ing mar­ket, BMO econ­o­mist Doug Porter noted.

Ris­ing inter­est rates and a pro­jected slow­down in job growth mean that the Cana­dian hous­ing mar­ket is expected to con­tinue to cool,” CREA pres­i­dent Georges Pahud said.

A fur­ther tight­en­ing of reg­u­la­tions could neg­a­tively impact Canada’s soft­en­ing hous­ing mar­ket and con­sumer confidence.”

In terms of sales, activ­ity was 4.1% higher, on a monthly basis, in August. It’s the first monthly increase since March and only the sec­ond monthly gain of the 2010 cal­en­dar year.

Activ­ity was up most in Ontario and British Colum­bia, with monthly gains in these two provinces account­ing for most of the improve­ment in national sales activity.

Canada’s real estate mar­ket was abnor­mally active in late 2009 as buy­ers rushed to take advan­tage of low inter­est rates, so yearly com­par­isons are likely to be neg­a­tive for the rest of 2010, the agency warned.

High sales activ­ity late last year and ear­lier this year bor­rowed from sales this sum­mer and will con­tinue do so over the com­ing months,” CREA econ­o­mist Gre­gory Klump said.

This makes the return to more nor­mal lev­els of sales activ­ity look like a steep down­ward trend.… The hang­over from accel­er­ated home pur­chases is likely to per­sist over the rest of the year.”

MLS list­ings were 1.9% higher dur­ing the month com­pared to July, which pushed inven­tory to 6.9 months at the end of August 2010 on a national basis, down slightly from the seven months of inven­tory at the end of July 2010.

Inven­tory is the term used to describe how long it would take to sell the entire avail­able hous­ing stock at the cur­rent sales.

While home sales are still nurs­ing a bit of a hang­over from the real estate party in the first half of the year, it looks like con­di­tions are sta­bi­liz­ing,” Porter said.

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Con­tact the Jef­frey Team for more infor­ma­tion  -  416−388−1960

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Home sales rise for first time since March

Garry Marr, Finan­cial Post

Exist­ing home sales climbed in August for the first time in four months, the Cana­dian Real Estate Asso­ci­a­tion said.

How­ever sta­tis­tics from the Ottawa-based group, which rep­re­sents about 100 boards across the coun­try, show prices con­tinue to fall.

The aver­age price of a home sold last month was $324,928, up only slightly from $324,843 a year ago. How­ever, com­pared with last month, when the aver­age price of a home sold was $330,351, prices are down 1.6%.

The mar­ket did get a boost from sales activ­ity last month which rose 4.1% on a sea­son­ally adjusted basis from July. It marked the first time since March sales had risen.

This makes the return to more nor­mal lev­els of sales activ­ity look like a steep down­ward trend,” said Gre­gory Klump, chief econ­o­mist with CREA. “The hang­over from accel­er­ated home pur­chases is likely to per­sist over the rest of the year. Although eco­nomic and job growth are expected to be tepid, they will con­tinue to sup­port hous­ing markets.”

CREA said activ­ity climbed the most Ontario and British Colum­bia, with the monthly gains in the two provinces account­ing for most of the improved national sales fig­ure in August.

For the first eight months of the year, sales remain 2.2% ahead of last year’s pace. How­ever, the real estate group warned that the last four months of 2009 were very strong and the mar­ket is unlikely to come close to match­ing the fig­ures again.

Sup­ply is ris­ing in the mar­ket with new list­ings up 1.9% from a year ago but are still 16% below the peak reached in April.

Over­all inven­tory has shrunk slightly. The num­ber of months of inven­tory, which rep­re­sents the num­ber of months it would take to sell cur­rent inven­to­ries at the cur­rent rate of sales activ­ity, was 6.9 months in August. That was down from 7.3 months in July and the first month-over-month decline since last November.

CREA warned while prices are sta­ble con­sumers can expect increases to shrink in Canada’s most active and expen­sive markets.

Ris­ing inter­est rates and a pro­jected slow­down in job growth mean that the Cana­dian hous­ing mar­ket is expected to con­tinue to cool,” said Georges Pahud, pres­i­dent of CREA. “This is over­looked in recent com­men­tary that sug­gests fur­ther changes to mort­gage reg­u­la­tions may be needed. A fur­ther tight­en­ing of reg­u­la­tions could neg­a­tively impact Canada’s soft­en­ing hous­ing mar­ket and con­sumer confidence.”

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Con­tact the Jef­frey Team for more infor­ma­tion  -  416−388−1960

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