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Tag Archives: homes for sale

RealNet explains why there was a summer slowdown in new home sales

George Carras – Yourhome.ca

July and August are the best months in Toronto. Many people take advantage of the splendid weather and head out to cottages, take vacations with family and friends, or remain in town and enjoy all the things you can do in a great city like Toronto.

While the weather was warm and wonderful this summer, sales totals for new homes and condominiums across the GTA felt a bit cool.

Over the past 13 years in the GTA, sales of new highrise homes (condominium apartments, lofts and stacked townhouses) in July and August averaged 2,495 units. During the summer of 2012, however, GTA builders sold 2,083 new highrise homes, 17% below average.

But this apparent cooling in highrise sales appears modest when compared to sales of new low-rise homes (detached, semi-detached, townhouse and links).

For the past decade, the GTA has seen an average of 3,508 sales of new low-rise homes in the summer months. This summer, only 1,478 new low-rise homes were sold, 58% below average.

Why so low? Two main factors are impacting sales in the low-rise market: record-low levels in the supply of homes for sale and record-high prices.

Heading into the summer (as of June 30), there were 6,004 new low-rise homes available for sale in builders’ sales centres. Over the summer, builders managed to release an anemic 1,424 units of new supply, while the market absorbed 1,478 units – or 25% – of what was available at the beginning of the summer.

So although sales appear strong given the limited supplies, the constrained supply is clearly having an impact.

The record-low level of new low-rise homes is also driving the prices to near-record-high levels.

The index price of a new low-rise home hit $609,369 (as of Aug. 30). That represents a 12.7% increase over August 2011 and is making the remaining supply increasingly unaffordable for consumers. By contrast, the index price for a new highrise home in the GTA was $436,460, $173,000 less expensive than low-rise.

And the availability of new highrise homes for consumers is at near-record-high level: 19,984 units at the end of summer.

While the record-high inventories of highrise homes might be cause for concern, when you combine the highrise sales with record-low low-rise inventories, the total inventory of 25,934 units available is at the low end of normal. The normal level of builder inventories for the GTA over the long term is between 25,000 and 30,000 units.

Slower summer highrise sales might also be explained by a lack of new openings.

This summer had 77% fewer openings than in 2011 as most highrise builders either accelerated their launches in order to open for the spring market, or they deferred them until this fall.

New openings often account for between 30% and 50% of the average monthly sales, so the acceleration of the condo market in the early part of 2012 has resulted in both an increase in remaining inventory and a decline in summer sales.

Now the summer is over and the fall sales season is well underway. What will the outcome be? It really depends on how everyone perceives and respond to the changing nature of the GTA housing market.

As the latest RealNet figures clearly demonstrate, the industry and market is responding to government intensification policies, resulting in a greater quantity of new highrise homes and a drastically reduced supply of new low-rise homes.

But housing is something that impacts everyone – consumers, industry and government – and a comprehensive understanding and well-balanced perspective of the entire housing market will be necessary in order to avoid the shift from hitting the fan.

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Contact the Jeffrey Team for more information – 416-388-1960

Laurin & Natalie Jeffrey are Toronto Realtors with Century 21 Regal Realty.
They did not write these articles, they just reproduce them here for people
who are interested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.

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  • toronto real estate board register offers
  • Don’t Hold Back on Holdback Offers

    Susanne Hud­son – Huff­in­g­ton Post Canada

    Hold­back Offers are a mar­ket­ing tool whereby the prop­erty is listed for five per cent under mar­ket value and offers are held back for a week. They are taken on a cer­tain date in antic­i­pa­tion of mul­ti­ple offers with the prop­erty sell­ing for 10 per cent or more over the ask­ing price.

    When you list your home for sale, your real estate agent will talk about how to best mar­ket your prop­erty. You may decide to list your home at a price com­fort­able for you and based on com­pa­ra­ble sales in your neigh­bour­hood. Your home is basi­cally then ready to receive offers any­time. Or, you may decide to mar­ket your home using a hold­back offer scenario.

    This is strictly a mar­ket­ing tool but it is most com­monly used in a seller’s mar­ket (very few homes for sale), in a very active mar­ket or sought-after neigh­bour­hood, or, with a house that is pretty per­fect and will be very attrac­tive to buy­ers at that price point. It may also be a house that is attrac­tive to devel­op­ers or an older bun­ga­low on a wide lot — or even bet­ter, a dou­ble lot — that can be torn down and a new house or houses built for three times the price of the lot/bungalow.

    List­ings with hold­back offer clauses pre­dictably come out early in the week with an open house for agents mid-week and a pub­lic open house on both days on the week­end. Some­times a home inspec­tion is done and pro­vided for buy­ers ahead of the offer date. The offer date may be on the Sun­day night or one night the begin­ning of the fol­low­ing week.

    Pric­ing the prop­erty takes into account that you expect mul­ti­ple offers. The home is listed at prob­a­bly five per cent under its mar­ket value in hopes of get­ting 10 to 15 per cent over ask­ing. This is not with­out risk since if there are not mul­ti­ple offers, you may get one offer at your list­ing price (five per cent under ask­ing) the night of the offers.

    The night of the offers, most buy­ers have been pre-approved for their financing/mortgage and they have had a home inspec­tion of the prop­erty ahead of the offer date (or a cur­rent one is made avail­able by the seller). There­fore, In Toronto — cer­tainly in the cen­tral core — most offers come in with­out a financ­ing or home inspec­tion clause. The num­ber of offers and the final sale price depends on the num­ber of offers and how attrac­tive the house is to buyers.

    Most buy­ers don’t mind pay­ing a bit over the mar­ket value if the house and/or area are out­stand­ing and ratio­nal­ize that the house will prob­a­bly increase in value by that much over the next year or so. The caveat here is that the house has to appraise at the buyer’s accepted offer price and if it doesn’t, the buyer has to come up with the dif­fer­ence. In my expe­ri­ence, this doesn’t hap­pen very often.

    Ben­e­fits of hold­back offers to the seller: not just an increase in price but also an effi­ciency of time. Less time on the mar­ket if it works and less stress for the seller!

    In the first three months of 2012 the per­cent­age of hold­back offers have var­ied and so have the results — from two per cent over ask­ing in slower areas to up to 18 per cent in more sought– after areas. In the down­town condo mar­ket, most of the con­dos do not have hold­back offers and sell close to ask­ing price. Lofts do some­what bet­ter and have per­haps 20 per cent with hold­back offers/over ask­ing price.

    So in sum, hold­back offers are a mar­ket­ing tool and are most com­monly used in a seller’s mar­ket or an active mar­ket. In a buyer’s mar­ket (lots of houses for sale, few buy­ers) there will be few hold­back offers. Hold­back offers have been in place for over six years. There you have it!

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    Con­tact the Jef­frey Team for more infor­ma­tion – 416−388−1960

    Lau­rin & Natalie Jef­frey are Toronto Real­tors with Cen­tury 21 Regal Realty.
    They did not write these arti­cles, they just repro­duce them here for peo­ple
    who are inter­ested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.

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  • real estate hold­back ontario
  • stan­dard clause for hold­back ontario real estate
  • Fall Real Estate Roaring

    GTA REALTORS® Release Mid-Month Resale Hous­ing Figures

    Greater Toronto REALTORS® reported 3,149 trans­ac­tions dur­ing the first 14 days of Sep­tem­ber, rep­re­sent­ing an increase of more than 25% in com­par­i­son to the first two weeks of Sep­tem­ber 2010. New list­ings over the same period, at 6,890, were up by 14% com­pared to last year.

    Pur­chas­ing and pay­ing for a home over the long term rep­re­sents the sin­gle largest finan­cial com­mit­ment most house­holds will make over a life­time. To make this com­mit­ment, house­holds must be con­fi­dent in their eco­nomic prospects,” said Toronto Real Estate Board Pres­i­dent Richard Sil­ver. “The fact that sales con­tin­ued to grow through the first half of Sep­tem­ber sug­gests that GTA house­holds remain con­fi­dent that the econ­omy will remain buoyant.”

    The aver­age sell­ing price in the first half of Sep­tem­ber was $454,194 – an increase of 11% com­pared to the same period in Sep­tem­ber 2010.

    Strong price growth in the GTA con­tin­ues to be mit­i­gated by a solid afford­abil­ity pic­ture. Mort­gage rates will remain at or near cur­rent lev­els until the sec­ond half of 2012 if not into 2013,” said Jason Mer­cer, the Toronto Real Estate Board’s Senior Man­ager of Mar­ket Analysis.

    In response to strong price growth, more house­holds chose to list their homes for sale in com­par­i­son to last August. Growth in list­ings is expected to con­tinue. Increased choice will result in more sus­tain­able rates of price growth,” con­tin­ued Mercer.

    City of Toronto (“416″)
    2011 Sales: 1,232 | Aver­age Price: $464,825
    2010 Sales:   943 | Aver­age Price: $430,406

    Rest of GTA (“905″)
    2011 Sales: 1,917 | Aver­age Price: $447,362
    2010 Sales: 1,567 | Aver­age Price: $396,329

    All of GTA
    2011 Sales: 3,149 | Aver­age Price: $454,194
    2010 Sales: 2,510 | Aver­age Price: $409,132

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    Con­tact the Jef­frey Team for more infor­ma­tion – 416−388−1960

    Lau­rin & Natalie Jef­frey are Toronto Real­tors with Cen­tury 21 Regal Realty.
    They did not write these arti­cles, they just repro­duce them here for peo­ple
    who are inter­ested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.

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