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Tag Archives: new homes market

Home building climbs in February

Hous­ing starts accel­er­ate to 196,700 units, top­ping expec­ta­tions, while poll says home-buying inten­tions are also on the rise

Tavia Grant – Globe and Mail

Hous­ing activ­ity picked up speed last month, top­ping expec­ta­tions as builders broke ground on con­do­mini­ums and other multiple-unit dwellings.

Starts rose to 196,700 units in Feb­ru­ary, on a sea­son­ally adjusted annual rate, from 185,400 units in Jan­u­ary, Canada Mort­gage and Hous­ing Corp. reported Monday.

Home build­ing has revved back to life after the reces­sion caused hous­ing starts to fall below 120,000 last spring. Low bor­row­ing costs and a rush to beat a provin­cial sales tax in some provinces are spurring demand – and builders are respond­ing accordingly.

It appears that the new homes mar­ket is slowly com­ing back to life and may finally be ben­e­fit­ing from the resur­gence in over­all hous­ing mar­ket activ­ity,” said Ian Pol­lick, eco­nom­ics strate­gist at TD Secu­ri­ties. “Hous­ing still remains a bright spot in Cana­dian eco­nomic activity.”

The pace of advance, how­ever, may not con­tinue in the lat­ter half of this year as inter­est rates rise and demand tapers off, he cautioned.

February’s gain in hous­ing starts was con­cen­trated in the mul­ti­ple starts seg­ment, par­tic­u­larly in Toronto, said Bob Dugan, chief econ­o­mist at CMHC’s mar­ket analy­sis cen­tre. Mul­ti­ple units include con­dos, town houses and duplexes. CMHC doesn’t break down which aspect of mul­ti­ple con­struc­tion is ris­ing fastest.

Urban mul­ti­ple starts, which tend to be more volatile, jumped 19.1 per cent while sin­gle urban starts rose 0.5 per cent.

Ontario led the country’s starts, with a 28.6-per-cent increase. They rose 14.3 per cent in Atlantic Canada, 10.8 per cent in the Prairie region and 8.0 per cent in British Colum­bia. In Que­bec, they fell 14.1 per cent.

Econ­o­mists polled by Bloomberg had expected 190,000 starts in the month.

Home-buying inten­tions remain strong, accord­ing to a poll by the Royal Bank of Canada released Mon­day. The por­tion of Cana­di­ans who are very likely to pur­chase a home in the next two years has risen to 10 per cent from 7 per cent two years ago, accord­ing to RBC’s home own­er­ship study. Younger Cana­di­ans – aged 18 to 24 – will lead demand this year, with those very likely to buy almost dou­bling to 15 per cent from 8 per cent in 2009, it said.

Most Cana­di­ans also believe house prices will rise this year. Six in 10 think prices will go higher, up from 25 per cent in 2009. And nearly two-thirds, or 64 per cent, believe mort­gage rates will be higher over the next year, up from 33 per cent in the last survey.

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Con­tact the Jef­frey Team for more infor­ma­tion  -  416−388−1960

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Housing starts rise 6.1% in February

Finan­cial Post

Home con­struc­tion rose by a more-than-expected 6.1 per cent to 196,700 units in Feb­ru­ary, Canada Mort­gage and Hous­ing Corp. reported Monday.

That was up from 185,400 units in Jan­u­ary and above econ­o­mists’ fore­casts of 190,000 units for February.

The gain in Feb­ru­ary hous­ing starts was con­cen­trated in the mul­ti­ple starts seg­ment, par­tic­u­larly in Toronto,” said CMHC’s chief econ­o­mist Bob Dugan.

Urban hous­ing starts were up 9% from Jan­u­ary to 179,100 units on a sea­son­ally adjusted basis, with mul­ti­ple units ris­ing 19.1% to 89,900 and sin­gle starts increas­ing 0.5% to 89,200 units.

Ontario recorded a 28.6% gain in Feb­ru­ary, while Atlantic Canada rose 14.3%, the Prairie region increased 10.8% and British Colum­bia was up 8%. Mean­while, Que­bec saw hous­ing starts decline 14.1%.

Hous­ing starts in rural areas totalled 17,600 units in Feb­ru­ary, down from 21,100 the pre­vi­ous month.

Ian Pol­lick, eco­nom­ics strate­gist at TD Secu­ri­ties, said February’s gain shows “the new homes mar­ket is slowly com­ing back to life and may finally be ben­e­fit­ing from the resur­gence in over­all hous­ing mar­ket activity.”

How­ever, we cau­tion that the pace of advance will likely be hard pressed to eke out sim­i­lar gains later in the year, mainly as a result of enthu­si­as­tic buy­ers attempt­ing to close trans­ac­tions ahead of the reg­u­la­tory (new mort­gage rules) and (har­mo­nized sales)tax changes com­ing into effect mid-2010.

As such, this report likely over­states the true strength of the recov­ery in new res­i­den­tial hous­ing, though it is safe to say that hous­ing still remains a bright spot in Cana­dian eco­nomic activity.”

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Con­tact the Jef­frey Team for more infor­ma­tion  -  416−388−1960

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They don’t pay off their houses like they used to

Attitudes are changing in a key slice of the home-buying population

Terrence Belford – Globe and Mail

If you follow the new homes market then you know that for the past six months it has been young first-time buyers who are accounting for the lion’s share of sales. But how well does the housing industry really know what 18 to 34 year olds want in a home?

A survey released by TD Canada Trust last month may offer some surprises. Chief among them is that young people would much prefer an older single family house that they could fix up to anything else on the market.

Nor do they look at paying off their mortgage with any particular urgency, placing them in sharp contrast with previous generations. And not surprising, perhaps, more than a third of them looked to mom and dad or maybe grandma and grandpa to make that first home purchase come true.

“There has been a distinct shift in attitude among today’s 18 to 34 age group from those 55 and older when it comes to buying that first home,” says Chris Wisniewski, group product manager in TD Canada Trust’s real estate secured lending unit. “Some of those changes may simply be due to the prices of homes of all kinds today. Some may be because they have been exposed more to the basics of personal finance since they were young.”

And some may be anybody’s guess.

Take choice of housing. The cross-Canada survey says young people prefer city living (64% versus 50% of that 55 plus age group, when they were buying their first home) and that their first purchase was a single family house not a condo or row house (65%). Granted 85% of those in that 55 and over age group said their first home was a detached house.

City life also means older homes. Almost 48% of the young chose a house that was at least 21 years old and 35% said they chose a house they could then fix up. That too is a big leap from want their elders did. In that 55 plus age group only 24% said their first home was a fixer-upper.

“A lot of people would assume younger people living in a city would naturally choose affordable condos. This study shows that just is not happening,” says Ms. Wisniewski. “It would also suggest that price determines what they buy so that means older homes they plan on renovating.

So where is the money coming from? Family, of course; 36% of young buyers said they could not have bought that first home without financial help from family. The oldies were more self reliant and probably did not have parents as well heeled as today’s baby boomers. Only 16% of those 55 plus got family help with their first home.

Nor do many of them stay within the original budget. Almost a third of the 18 to 34 group said their first home was more expensive than they originally planned. The 55-plus group was far better at staying within spending limits. Only 18% of them paid more than they intended.

They may have had to borrow from or ask mom and dad to give them money for the down payment but they are not in as great a rush to pay down mortgages as their parents were, the survey shows. Just 49% of young home buyers rated paying off a mortgage as a top priority compared with 64% of their parents’ generation.

The main impetus for buying that first home is also surprising. It was not because they were getting married or about to have kids. Those reasons both ranked in low double digits.

The 18 to 34 years olds simply thought they were financially ready – having to count on help from mom and dad aside – and it would prove to be a good investment. Just over half (51%) cited being financially ready versus 37% of the older generation when they bought their first home.

Now back to buying older homes – fixer-uppers. Royal Bank of Canada surveyed 2,050 Canadians who planned on doing home renovations within the next two years in the second week of September. They found 63% of them would take advantage of the federal government’s home renovation tax credit and 46% of them had already done so.

What is more 76% have paid or plan to pay for the work with cash or savings, versus 70% in 2008. Just 24% will put it on their credit card versus 32% last year.

“It is not surprising that Canadian renovators are getting smarter with renovation financing and voiding debt in light of the current economy,” says Marcia Moffat, head of home equity financing at RBC.

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Contact the Jeffrey Team for more information  -  416-388-1960

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