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Tag Archives: principal residences

How the rich are investing in real estate right now

Thane Stenner – Globe and Mail

I was catching up on a backlog of reading last weekend when I came across an interesting, if worrisome, article in The Economist. In it, the British newsmagazine suggested the Canadian real estate market is overvalued by 25% or more, and is now “frothier” than the U.S. market was at its peak in 2008.

Comment: Except no one here with any experience with our real estate market puts any stock in that report.

A provocative suggestion, one sure to make millions of Canadian homeowners a little concerned. For better or worse, real estate remains a significant asset for most Canadian families. If our real estate market is in bubble territory, the financial implications would be serious.

Now, by no means am I an expert real estate investor. I’ve owned each of the principal residences I’ve lived in over the past 25 years, and they’ve all done reasonably well for me. But real estate is not the focus of my portfolio, and beyond the old adage about “location, location, location,” I have little in the way of secret wisdom or guru-like tips to pass on to real estate investors.

The wealthy people I know, however, are quite another story. Many of the smartest, wealthiest people I have ever met have made millions in real estate. These people are shrewd investors. Real estate is something they talk about often, and when they do, I listen.

Based on these conversations, I would say high net worth (HNW) investors seem to be pulling back from the Canadian real estate market. Not exiting altogether, mind you. But instead of allocating new money by buying Canadian residential property, they’ve decided to invest in real estate in a different way.

The following four “profiles” describe some of the different approaches HNW individuals are currently using to invest in real estate. I offer them as a jumping off point for how you might allocate your own real estate assets, no matter what your net worth.

Many of the smartest, wealthiest people I have ever met have made millions in real estate.

The developer

Many HNW real estate investors are in fact real estate businesspeople. They tend to be highly experienced investors with detailed knowledge of a particular market, along with a vision for what a particular piece of property could be (as opposed to what it is now). They are prepared to take big risks. But they can reap equally big rewards.

Playing the development game requires a strong stomach and deep pockets. It also requires a somewhat paradoxical mindset. On one hand, bringing a property from raw land to completion can take years, so patience is a necessity. On the other hand, once a site is built, cash return becomes a priority, so quick-flipping is standard.

Investors with neither the mindset nor the capital for development can still invest like a developer by putting money behind publicly listed companies in this line of work. Firms related to development (engineering firms, for example) are another possibility.

The income investor

Real estate has always been an attractive asset for income-oriented investors. With the current low interest rate environment, that interest has only grown. More and more HNW investors I talk to are taking a look at apartments, office buildings, malls, and warehouses, where there’s potential for capital gains, but the primary goal is income.

Like the developer, the income investor takes a businesslike approach to real estate. But the business is more conservative, with less focus on vision and more focus on balance sheets, cash flow, and cap rate. These investors seem to be in it for the long haul, and many times, with the intention of handing down through multiple generations.

Investors of more modest means can easily take the same approach. There are several REITs that focus on apartments and long-term tenants, both in Canada and the U.S.

A diversified portfolio of them could make an intriguing income investment. Accredited investors can also consider investing via Limited Partnership structures.

The opportunist

Legendary value investor Benjamin Graham talked about putting his money into “cigar butts”: companies that had been beaten up and discarded but still have a “few good puffs” in them. That’s a good analogy to what many HNW investors are doing with real estate. The opportunist sees real estate as a contrarian play—potentially the greatest of the past 50 years—but not necessarily a long-term hold.

Since 2008, the prime target for this type of real estate investing has been U.S. housing. With prices down 50% or more from their all-time-highs in sun belt states such as California, Arizona, and Florida, dozens of HNW investors I know have bought condos, houses, and also apartment buildings and commercial property. A strong Canadian dollar doesn’t hurt, either.

There is nothing to stop investors of more modest means of doing the same, either through direct purchase (condos in many Snowbird destinations can be had for $150,000 or less), or a U.S.-focused REIT.

The loaner

Some HNW investors have decided to invest in real estate not by owning, but by loaning. Instead of buying property, they’re funding mortgages, investing in private real estate financing pools, or by backing companies that do the same.

Such an approach has several advantages over owning. It’s a good way to diversify, for one. It’s also a good way to move up the capital structure: mortgage holders generally take precedent over equity holders if a project goes sour. And of course, mortgages and real estate debt can be good income generators, too.

There are several publicly traded securities that offer exposure to mortgages and other financing pools. Many Canadian mutual fund companies offer mortgage loan funds. They’re more expensive than publicly traded securities , but active management may arguably offer additional risk control. Limited Partnerships are also an option for Accredited Investors.

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Contact the Jeffrey Team for more information – 416-388-1960

Laurin & Natalie Jeffrey are Toronto Realtors with Century 21 Regal Realty.
They did not write these articles, they just reproduce them here for people
who are interested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.

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  • Housing and the Economy

    CMHC Housing Outlook

    Whether it is the construction of new dwellings, or the rental, sale or renovation of existing homes, housing plays a dynamic and crucial role in the economy. Housing-related economic activity accounted for $307 billion in 2009, over one-fifth of Canada’s total gross domestic product.

    The impact of housing on the economy is far-reaching, creating economic activity and employment across a wide range of sectors.

    The residential construction sector is comprised of numerous labour-intensive small businesses — some 71,000 residential construction firms and 158,000 specialty trade contractors in 2009 — that can enter and exit the sector with relative ease, thanks in part to the relatively modest investment in fixed capital required for prospective firms and the extensive use of subcontracting.

    These factors make housing an attractive economic and job creation tool. Canada’s Economic Action Plan in Budget 2009 provided a total of $7.8 billion in tax relief and funding of actions to stimulate the economy through housing. When provincial contributions are taken into account, the total stimulus value is $9.2 billion.

    The Government of Canada plays a significant role in housing, working with a wide range of provincial, territorial, municipal, Aboriginal, industry and other stakeholders to improve housing outcomes for those Canadians whose housing needs cannot be met in the marketplace. Examples of this involvement include a commitment in 2008 of $1.9 billion over five years to invest in housing and alleviate homelessness; Canada’s Economic Action Plan (Budget 2009) which announced a one-time investment of more than $2 billion over two years to build new and repair existing social housing, and up to $2 billion over two years in low-cost loans to municipalities through CMHC to fund housing-related municipal infrastructure projects.

    Housing plays a central role in the lives and finances of Canadian households. Real estate — which includes principal residences and second homes—accounts for over 40% of the assets of households.

    The greater the affordability, security of tenure, choice and quality of accommodation, the greater the likelihood of positive educational performance, skills development and employment success.

    The response to the recent financial and economic turmoil has shown that Canada’s housing system has strength and resilience as well as flexibility. The high standard of housing that the great majority of Canadians enjoy demonstrates that the system is working; however, some Canadians still face difficulties in securing acceptable housing.

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    Contact the Jeffrey Team for more information  -  416-388-1960

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    Housing credit squeeze likely to keep bubble at bay

    By David Olive – Toronto Star

    Finance Min­is­ter Jim Fla­herty has headed off any last chance of a hous­ing bub­ble devel­op­ing in Canada.

    Com­ment: No one but The Star thought there was any chance of a bub­ble any­way. You just threw the words around because it made for good press. All of the data sup­ports the exact oppo­site. Look at the num­bers from 1988–1991 ver­sus 1996–2010 and notice that they are not at all alike. Peo­ple – do not believe the hype, check the data for your­self and come to your own con­clu­sions!

    Not that there was much like­li­hood of a bub­ble form­ing
    , despite the aston­ish­ing recov­ery in Cana­dian house prices in recent months, fuelled by pent-up demand and record-low inter­est rates. The fears on that score are overblown. So are those of a crash in prices when the non-existent bub­ble implodes.

    Here’s why the Cana­dian hous­ing mar­ket is head­ing into a period of stability:

    Ottawa has just sig­nalled it will slam the brakes on the real estate mar­ket if it shows signs of spin­ning out of control.

    Mortgage-tightening rules Fla­herty unveiled Tues­day are gen­tle and highly tar­geted. They’re aimed at dis­cour­ag­ing Cana­di­ans from using their homes as ATM machines. And to make life dif­fi­cult for spec­u­la­tors who buy six-packs of condo units in the hope of flip­ping them for a quick buck.

    That activ­ity dri­ves up hous­ing val­ues across the board, fos­ter­ing the illu­sion of a sus­tain­able rise in demand and prices that, in fact, is built on sand. These were cul­prits in the record run-up in U.S. hous­ing val­ues in the pre­vi­ous decade that ended with an epic col­lapse, as U.S. house prices abruptly plunged between 40% and 70% from their 2007 peak.

    If Flaherty’s new mea­sures don’t ease house-price infla­tion, he’ll reach deeper into his tool­box for a mal­let, and now every player in the mar­ket knows it. Fla­herty said Cana­di­ans can with­draw only 90% of the value of their homes when refi­nanc­ing, down slightly from the cur­rent 95%. In the next round of dis­ci­plin­ing the mar­ket, if required, Ottawa can drop that amount to 85% or still lower.

    Ottawa will now require a 20% down pay­ment on government-insured mort­gages for what it describes as “spec­u­la­tive” invest­ment properties.

    Real estate agents, mort­gage bro­kers and even some econ­o­mists feared Ottawa might apply that 20% require­ment on all hous­ing pur­chases. That could dampen not only real estate val­ues, but also the wider eco­nomic recovery.

    But Ottawa has bared its teeth: If the upward spi­ral in prices con­tin­ues, Fla­herty might broaden the appli­ca­tion of the higher down pay­ment require­ment to, say, prin­ci­pal residences.

    The Canada Mort­gage and Hous­ing Corp., the prin­ci­pal insurer of Cana­dian home mort­gages, already has tight­ened its rules on approv­ing insur­ance on mort­gages that show the slight­est poten­tial for default. And it has elim­i­nated non-down-payment mortgages.

    One of the clas­sic char­ac­ter­is­tics of a bub­ble is that in the midst of one, no one thinks it’s a bub­ble. If they did, they’d quickly clear their win­nings off the table. That fears of an emerg­ing Cana­dian hous­ing bub­ble have pre­oc­cu­pied econ­o­mists, lenders, pol­i­cy­mak­ers and buy­ers since last fall is a sure indi­ca­tion that the mar­ket is not caught up in an irra­tional buy­ing frenzy.

    There has been lit­tle spec­u­la­tive activ­ity in the hous­ing mar­ket. This dan­ger­ous phe­nom­e­non shows up in vol­ume as much as prices, as the num­ber of trans­ac­tions soars with the ram­pant buy­ing of non-owner-occupied homes. Yet in this mar­ket, as prices have risen strongly, vol­ume has been close to flat.

    The hous­ing mar­ket is about to endure two cold show­ers. The Har­mo­nized Sales Tax (HST) will kick in July 1 in Ontario and B.C., two of the biggest and most buoy­ant mar­kets. And the Bank of Canada’s low-low inter­est rates – the main cause of today’s robust prices – are expected to rise this year.

    The fun­da­men­tals of our econ­omy don’t sup­port another leap in prices.

    No ques­tion, the Cana­dian hous­ing mar­ket has recov­ered with star­tling speed and strength. From the trough a year ago last month, aver­age Cana­dian home prices have soared 23%, in the teeth of a global reces­sion with no equal in mod­ern times. The aver­age Toronto house price has jumped 19% in the past year, to $409,058 last month.

    But Cana­dian per­sonal income slipped 1% in 2009, and total employ­ment was down 1.4% from 2008. And in a report Tues­day, the Ottawa-based Vanier Insti­tute of the Fam­ily warned that Cana­dian house­hold debt reached a record aver­age of $96,000 last year. The inci­dence of late mort­gage pay­ments soared 50% in 2009, and credit-card hold­ers at least three months behind in their pay­ments was up 40%.

    Under those cir­cum­stances, deferred grat­i­fi­ca­tion will trump irra­tional exu­ber­ance in most dinner-table dis­cus­sions of fam­ily finances.

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    Con­tact the Jef­frey Team for more infor­ma­tion  -  416−388−1960

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