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Toronto Condo Market Report 2013 Q1

April 22, 2013   New Toronto Condos & Lofts, Planning & Development, Toronto Condos

Toronto Real­tors reported 4,133 condo sales through the Toronto MLS sys­tem dur­ing the first quar­ter of 2013. This result was down by approx­i­mately 17% in com­par­i­son to the first quar­ter of 2012.

Com­ment: Which is crazy when we see the direc­tion change com­pletely in the first half of April when sales were down only 4.3% but prices rose 5.9%. I think we are see­ing the condo mar­ket right itself and get back on solid foot­ing. Regard­less of the neg­a­tive spin the media has put on it for the past… oh, 10 years or so.

New list­ings of con­do­minium apart­ments were also down on a year-over-basis in the first quar­ter, but by a lesser annual rate of 5%.

Com­ment: So the flood of con­dos being sold by pan­ick­ing investors flee­ing the mar­ket did not hap­pen? Wow, I am NOT sur­prised in the least. If list­ings were down 5% and sales were down 17%, then it is only a net drop of 12%. Either way, there is no flood of con­dos on the mar­ket, like all the naysay­ers pre­dicted. Yet again, they were wrong. What are they now, 0–412?

“Buy­ers ben­e­fit­ted from a sub­stan­tial amount of choice in the condo mar­ket in the first quar­ter, espe­cially in com­par­i­son to low-rise home types. This being said, the fact that new condo list­ings were down in the first quar­ter sug­gests that the mar­ket may become tighter mov­ing for­ward. This will also depend on the tim­ing and scale of future condo apart­ment com­ple­tions,” said Toronto Real Estate Board Pres­i­dent Ann Hannah.

Com­ment: With only 3 new condo projects launched in Q1 2013, it would seem that the condo mar­ket will tighten. That is the beauty of the real estate mar­ket, it is self-correcting. If it appears that there is too much prod­uct or that projects won’t sell, the devel­op­ers hold back. Sure, there was help from Mr. Fla­herty on one front, but the mar­ket is dri­ven by so many inde­pen­dent peo­ple that it keeps itself in line. There were 85,731 sales through MLS in 2012. Assum­ing one buyer and one seller for each trans­ac­tion, plus a real­tor for each, that means there were 342,924 peo­ple involved in last year’s real estate mar­ket. Add in friends and rel­a­tives of buy­ers and sell­ers, never mind another 30,000-odd new home sales and you are prob­a­bly look­ing at 1,000,000 dif­fer­ent peo­ple touch­ing the mar­ket. Add in mort­gage bro­kers and bank reps, home inspec­tors, you name… think of every­one involved in all of those sales. That is why the mar­ket is 100% fair – the sales and prices are set by a HUGE com­mit­tee. It is not like 10 real­tors got together to scheme and plan it all out… That is why it cracks me up when peo­ple com­plain to me that high prices are all the fault of real estate agents, we are the ones mak­ing the mar­ket so costly and crazy and what­ever else it is that bugs them. So I explain that my involve­ment in the greater real estate mar­ket accounts for about 0.00583% of the total. And most agents have even less effect.

The aver­age price for first quar­ter condo sales was $332,846 – down by 0.5% com­pared to the same period in 2012.

Com­ment: A dip, yes, but not the cat­a­strophic col­lapse that so many pre­dicted. And the first half of April is show­ing prices turn­ing around and ris­ing 5.9% – quite a dif­fer­ence. And again, quite the oppo­site of what the doom brigade said would happen.

“With months of inven­tory high from a his­toric per­spec­tive, it makes sense that the aver­age sell­ing price for con­dos edged lower over the past two quar­ters. How­ever, March results were much more pos­i­tive com­pared to the first quar­ter as a whole, with the aver­age condo sell­ing price up by two per cent annu­ally for the GTA,” said Jason Mer­cer, TREB’s Senior Man­ager of Mar­ket Analysis.

Com­ment: Inven­tory may be high, but list­ings are going down. This will bring inven­tory down. Which will tighten the mar­ket. And fewer new projects launch­ing even fur­ther tight­ens the mar­ket. And this will push up prices.

Con­do­minium Mar­ket Sum­mary First Quar­ter 2013

Total TREB (905 and 416)
2013 Sales: 4,133 | Aver­age Price: $332,846
2012 Sales: 4,973 | Aver­age Price: $334,669

City of Toronto (416 only)
2013 Sales: 2,924 | Aver­age Price: $355,776
2012 Sales: 3,513 | Aver­age Price: $360,343

—————————————————————————————————–
Con­tact the Jef­frey Team for more infor­ma­tion – 416−388−1960

Lau­rin & Natalie Jef­frey are Toronto Real­tors with Cen­tury 21 Regal Realty.
They did not write these arti­cles, they just repro­duce them here for peo­ple
who are inter­ested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.
—————————————————————————————————–


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    Davisville Village Condos and Condos on Merton Street

    March 9, 2013  

    Cen­trally located and pop­u­lar with young pro­fes­sion­als and fam­i­lies, Davisville Vil­lage is an attrac­tive area in Mid­town Toronto between St. Clair and Eglin­ton which offers an unprece­dented array of condo options. Depend­ing on what part of the neigh­bour­hood you are in, you will see any­thing from smaller bou­tique build­ings and con­verted office build­ings, to walk-up town­houses and tow­er­ing high-rises circa the 1970s. Look below to see what the choices offer.

    Call Lau­rin at 416−388−1960 or or email him today if you are inter­ested in any of these Davisville Vil­lage or Con­dos on Mer­ton Street! Please be sure to let us know if you think a condo is missing.

    —————————————————————————————————————————————

    Domain Condos - 319 Merton Street Domain – 319 Mer­ton Street
    In the heart of pleas­ant Mt. Pleas­ant Vil­lage, Domain Con­dos is a con­do­minium devel­op­ment of two build­ings at 13 and 14 storeys. With a total of 241 units, avail­able suites range in size from one bed­rooms to two bed­rooms with den. Bal­conies or ter­races over­look the mid­town Toronto sky­line. Domain is con­ve­niently located near the plethora of shops, restau­rants, and cafes that make the area so charm­ing. There are sev­eral ameni­ties in the build­ing, such as an indoor swim­ming pool, whirlpool, party room, and land­scaped patio. There are also exer­cise facil­i­ties and a games lounge.
    Con­tact us today if this condo inter­ests you.
    ———-
    Greenwich Terrace - 111 Merton Street Green­wich Ter­race – 111 Mer­ton Street
    Green­wich Ter­race is a true bou­tique build­ing and one of the older con­dos on Mer­ton Street. It started life as an office build­ing, but was con­verted to res­i­den­tial con­do­minium apart­ments in the mid-1990s. The suites offer high ceil­ings, great nat­ural light, roomy ter­races, Juli­ette bal­conies and well-thought-out floor plans. The con­dos range from stu­dios up to two-bedroom-plus-dens, some with 3 bath­rooms. Ameni­ties include secu­rity sys­tem, exer­cise room/gym, party/meeting room, rooftop ter­race with BBQs and guest park­ing.
    Con­tact us today if this condo inter­ests you.
    ———-
    The Metro Condos - 119-139 Merton Street The Metro – 119 & 139 Mer­ton Street
    The Metro at 119 Mer­ton Street and 139 Mer­ton Street offers a range of sin­gle storey con­dos and 2-storey soft lofts. The loft floor plans fea­ture great nat­ural light through floor-to-ceiling win­dows, soar­ing 18-foot ceil­ings. South-facing units offer won­der­ful views of the green­belt and the down­town Toronto sky­line, which will never be blocked because of Mount Pleas­ant Ceme­tery. Right on the Key Gar­diner Belt­line Trail, bik­ers and rollerbladers will love this loca­tion. Floor plans range from 1-bedroom to 2-bedroom-plus-den con­fig­u­ra­tions.
    Con­tact us today if this condo inter­ests you.
    ———-
    180 Merton Townhomes 180 Mer­ton Town­homes – 180 Mer­ton Street
    These lux­u­ri­ous exec­u­tive town­homes are located at 180 Mer­ton Street. These Georgian-style towns are their own lit­tle gated com­mu­nity. Built by Curated Prop­er­ties in 2001. They offer exquis­ite fin­ish­ings, with mar­ble, beau­ti­ful hard­wood, crown mould­ings, high ceil­ings, gas fire­places, pri­vate rooftop sun­decks with gas lines for BBQs and a gated dri­ve­way allow­ing access to indi­vid­ual built-in garages. Very low monthly main­te­nance fees, rarely offered for sale.
    Con­tact us today if this condo inter­ests you.
    ———-
    The Rio Condos - 35 195 225 253 Merton Street The Rio – 35, 195, 225 & 253 Mer­ton Street
    Tower 1 at 35 Mer­ton Street was the first of four Rio projects built on Mer­ton Street. The oth­ers are at 195, 225 and 253 Mer­ton. Sur­pris­ingly, they are named The Rio II, The Rio III and The Rio IV. They are all sim­i­lar in size and offer suites rang­ing in size from 1 bed­room, up to 3 bed­rooms. Ameni­ties include 24-hour concierge, secu­rity sys­tem, exer­cise room and gym, party room, vis­i­tor park­ing, sauna & whirlpool. They are know for their excel­lent ameni­ties. Mer­ton Street is a hot loca­tion, with restau­rants, shop­ping and the sub­way lit­er­ally at the end of the block.
    Con­tact us today if this condo inter­ests you.
    ———-
    The Hampton Boutique Condos - 260 Merton Street The Hamp­ton Bou­tique – 260 Mer­ton Street
    The Hamp­ton Bou­tique is a small bou­tique Mer­ton Street condo that fea­tures a vari­ety of well laid out 1 and 2 bed­room suites, each offer­ing a bal­cony or ter­race. This inti­mate & ele­gant condo in Davisville also has pent­houses with unob­structed views from open bal­conies over­look­ing gar­dens and the rose court­yard. Ameni­ties include a com­mon bike stor­age, party room with bil­liard table, big screen tv, kitchen and walk­out to gar­den with lots of guest park­ing.
    Con­tact us today if this condo inter­ests you.
    ———-
    151 Merton Townhomes - 151 Merton Street 151 Mer­ton Town­homes – 151 Mer­ton Street
    Sand­wiched between Rio IV and The Metro, you will these lovely lit­tle towns. Set in a tran­quil court­yard set­ting near the Mount Pleas­ant Ceme­tery, each of the 17 town­homes at 151 Mer­ton Street boasts three-four bed­rooms and three bath­rooms. Near the sub­way, shops, restau­rants, and the Belt­line Trail, they’re great value for its size and loca­tion. The secu­rity of under­ground park­ing is avail­able. Each unit also includes a pri­vate patio for out­door enter­tain­ing.
    Con­tact us today if this condo inter­ests you.
    ———-
    The Parkside Condos - 245 Davisville Avenue The Park­side – 245 Davisville Avenue
    If you know the area, then you are famil­iar with the condo with the round bal­conies. The inti­mate lowrise con­do­minium apart­ment build­ing located on the South West cor­ner of the inter­sec­tion of Davisville & Mount Pleas­ant Road, offers suites in a wide range of shapes and sizes. The build­ing over­looks the pub­lic green space, base­ball, soc­cer, ten­nis & play­ground facil­i­ties in June Row­lands Park to the North. The con­dos range from one bed­room to two bed­rooms with a den. The build­ing has a secu­rity sys­tem, exer­cise room & gym, recre­ation room and a guest suite.
    Con­tact us today if this condo inter­ests you.
    ———-
    300 Balliol - 300 Balliol Street 300 Bal­liol – 300 Bal­liol Street
    300 Bal­liol Street is a condo apart­ment build­ing located at on the North West cor­ner of Bal­liol Street and Mount Pleas­ant Road (one block south of Davisville Ave). This lowrise build­ing offers floor plans rang­ing from ground floor suites with pri­vate walk-out gar­dens, up to pent­houses fea­tur­ing large pri­vate ter­races. Smaller one bed­rooms and large two-plus-dens, with every­thing in between. Fea­tures include secu­rity sys­tem, exer­cise room, recre­ation room, games room.
    Con­tact us today if this condo inter­ests you.
    ———-
    Chaplin Place - 20 Glebe Road West Chap­lin Place – 20 Glebe Road West
    Rarely avail­able, Chap­lin Place is a small bou­tique build­ing In Mid­town Toronto near Yonge and Davisville. The con­dos are large, some one one level and oth­ers on two. Expect solar­i­ums, fire­places, park­ing and lock­ers. Each condo is large, with two bed­rooms and two wash­rooms. Most do not have bal­conies, as they have solar­i­ums, so out­door space is only avail­able in the ground level units with walk­out ter­races. Condo fees are rather low con­sid­er­ing the age and size of these con­dos. Com­mer­cial ten­ants are on the main floor and there are no ameni­ties to speak of. Sizes range from around 600 square feet up to over 1,000 square feet.
    Con­tact us today if this condo inter­ests you.
    ———-
    The Phoenix Condos - 1901 Yonge Street The Phoenix – 1901 Yonge Street
    Located on the South East cor­ner of Yonge Street and Davisville Avenue, this build­ing started life as an office tower, and was con­verted to con­do­minium loft apart­ments in the mid-to-late 90s. The lofty suites at The Phoenix are very nicely laid out, offer­ing high ceil­ings, lots of nat­ural light and qual­ity fin­ishes. Ameni­ties include 24-hour concierge, secu­rity sys­tem, exer­cise room, media/recreation room and a rooftop gar­den.
    Con­tact us today if this condo inter­ests you.
    ———-
    The Radius Lofts - 18 Merton Street The Radius Wide Lofts – 18 Mer­ton Street
    The Radius Lofts are directly above the Ethan Allen shop at the cor­ner of Yonge and Mer­ton. The Radius is just around the cor­ner from some of the finest upscale restau­rants, cafes, shops, fresh food and flower mar­kets, clubs, big-screen the­atres and the Davisville sub­way sta­tion. There are a total of 80 soft lofts, all with 2–level loft lay­outs and 18 foot ceil­ings. All of the suites at 18 Mer­ton have bal­conies, ter­races or both. Ameni­ties include a party room, work­out facil­ity – plus the gar­den ter­race with BBQs.
    Con­tact us today if this condo inter­ests you.
    ———-
    Le Corbu Lofts - 194 Merton Street Le Corbu Lofts – 194 Mer­ton Street
    Orig­i­nally an office build­ing, Le Corbu Lofts at 194 Mer­ton Street is a rare and pop­u­lar loft. Located in the south end of Davisville Vil­lage, this art-deco inspired build­ing fea­tures 34 con­verted Toronto lofts. The rooftop deck is per­fect for host­ing your next bar­be­cue, and the exer­cise room will keep you in shape. The lofts are meant for spa­cious open-concept liv­ing, homey touches such as wood lam­i­nate floor­ing and fire­places in some suites allow you to take advan­tage of typ­i­cal loft char­ac­ter­is­tics such as ten foot ceil­ings, while you enjoy all the com­forts of home.
    Con­tact us today if this condo inter­ests you.
    ———-
    Merton Yonge Condos - 25 Merton Street Mer­ton Yonge Con­dos – 25 Mer­ton Street
    MYC – Mer­ton Yonge Con­do­mini­ums are sit­u­ated at the cor­ner of Mer­ton and Yonge streets, the 24-storey, glass and steel tower will have floor-to-ceiling win­dows and wrap­around bal­conies over­look­ing tree-lined streets, Mount Pleas­ant Ceme­tery and the down­town sky­line. Suites include 9-foot ceil­ings, floor to ceil­ing win­dows, designer kitchens, hard­wood floor­ing in liv­ing areas, gran­ite or cae­sar stone counter tops in kitchens, mar­ble counter tops in bath­rooms, ensuite laun­dry and stain­less steel appli­ances.
    Con­tact us today if this condo inter­ests you.
    ———-

    —————————————————————————————————————————————

    Davisville Vil­lage is named for John Davis, who came to Canada from Stafford­shire, Eng­land in 1840. John Davis was Davisville’s first post­mas­ter and helped found the Davisville Pub­lic School. He also oper­ated the Davis Pot­tery, orig­i­nally located on Davisville Avenue, which became the Village’s largest employer. Nei­ther the Pot­tery nor the wood and paper mills that used to be main­stays of the area, cur­rently exist – they made way for res­i­dences, shops and busi­nesses long ago. How­ever, the two-storey build­ing that was the site of the for­mer Davisville Post Office is still stand­ing on the north-east cor­ner of Yonge & Davisville.

    The south part of Davisville was sub­di­vided in the 1860’s on land owned mostly by the Davis fam­ily. The north part of the Vil­lage belonged to the Church. This lat­ter tract of land, known as the Davisville Glebe, remained unde­vel­oped until 1911 when it was sold to the Dover­court Land and Build­ing Com­pany, the same com­pany that over­saw the devel­op­ment of the Lawrence Park neighbourhood.

    —————————————————————————————————–
    Con­tact the Jef­frey Team for more infor­ma­tion – 416−388−1960

    Lau­rin & Natalie Jef­frey are Toronto Real­tors with Cen­tury 21 Regal Realty.
    They did not write these arti­cles, they just repro­duce them here for peo­ple
    who are inter­ested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.
    —————————————————————————————————–


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    Five reasons not to buy a Toronto condo

    March 9, 2013   Buying Real Estate, Downtown Toronto Real Estate, First Time Buyers, Investment Condos, New Toronto Condos & Lofts, Toronto Condos

    Ben Rabidoux – The Globe and Mail

    The Toronto condo market has been the centre of much discussion recently, with even the Bank of Canada giving it significant coverage in the December 2012 edition of the Financial Stability Review.

    The potential risks facing this market segment have now crept to the forefront in discussions on the health of the overall Toronto real estate market – and for good reason. As the Bank of Canada noted, “Price corrections in particular segments of the housing market may put downward pressure on house prices more generally.” Because of this, the health of the condo market ought to be of interest to everyone in Toronto.

    And on that front, it appears that 2013 may prove to be a pivotal year for the condo market as a number of factors seem to be lining up against it.

    In particular, I see five trends worth watching in 2013:

    1) Sales of new and existing condos are weakening

    Sales of existing condo units, as measured on the Multiple Listing Service, have fallen in both the 905 and 416 regions. January sales in the 416 declined 6% from a year earlier and 9% in the 905 over that same time period.

    Comment: Uh, nope. Condos in the 416 fell 4.5% and 6.4% in the 905.

    The story is even worse in the new condo market, where sales of new units fell 53% in December compared to last year.

    Comment: So what, pick any one month and you can make a point. The fact is, 2012 had the 4th highest new condo sales ever. One month does not a trend make.

    Falling sales have been accompanied by rising inventory through the second half of 2012. Rising supply and falling demand are destabilizing factors in a real estate market.

    Comment: New condos were 79% sold in 2012, just above the 10-year average of 78%. So no, unsold inventory is NOT rising, it actually dropped a little bit.

    2) Inventory of unsold condos is now rising rapidly

    January saw a significant rise in the MLS condo inventory across the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) over the same month last year, with condos for sale rising 28% in the 416 – including a 42% jump in the downtown core – and 49% in the 905. Weakening sales and rising inventory is a clear indication that supply and demand is increasingly out of balance.

    Comment: I cannot find stats that detailed, curious where these come from. But I find it very hard to believe when overall new listings FELL 18.5% in February from Feb 2012. And new condo inventory is also down…

    3) There is an unprecedented supply of new condos in the pipeline, with a record number of units set to complete in 2013

    Given the number of cranes that fill the Toronto skyline, it will likely come as no shock to Toronto residents that the number of condo units under construction is at an all-time high at just under 55,000 units.

    Comment: Yet almost 80% of those units are already sold. Same as every year for the past 10 years. It is not like they are all going to suddenly come onto the market. And there are actually a little less than 61,000 units currently under construction.

    Of these, an estimated 25,000 to 28,000 units are set to complete in 2013, representing an enormous amount of potential new inventory. If current trends persist, these units will be completing, and a portion of them hitting the market, at a time when existing inventory is already high and sales are relatively weak.

    Comment: And we have had that many completed in a year before – nothing happened. So what? Potential is only that, potential. Sales are weak, yes, but only compared to record years. We are still way above the long term average.

    4) Population growth is slowing

    What’s ultimately needed to deal with what appears to be a potential condo oversupply problem is strong population growth in the GTA.

    While we often hear that the GTA attracts some 100,000 new individuals annually, it appears that population growth is slowing. In fact, if we look at net population change in Ontario, we find that our population as a province is growing at the slowest pace since 2007.

    Comment: Provincial data does not matter when talking about only one city. But if population growth slows in Toronto, then there will be fewer homes required. As sales slow, developers will release fewer projects. This will be slow and gradual. It is not like a wall is going up tomorrow and immigration will stop cold one day.

    In a recent report, the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation discussed the effect of slowing population growth on real estate in Toronto:

    “At least part of the reduction in ownership demand (in Toronto) over the second half of 2012 can be linked to weaker migratory flows into the region. Net migration for Ontario over the past year ending in September 2012 declined by more than 20% as a decreased number of people from other countries came to live in the province and an increased number of Ontarians migrated out. This suggests that the GTA (which doesn’t have updated data for 2012 but represents roughly 70% of the province’s migration flows), saw the number of net new people decline to below 60,000 for the first time since the late 1990s.”

    Population trends are notoriously difficult to predict, but the fact that Toronto’s population growth is slowing dramatically as we head into 2013 is one more reason to be concerned.

    Comment: And yet you use it to make predictions.

    5) Condo prices are now falling

    Finally, and perhaps as a logical result of the weakness in the condo market in late 2012, prices are beginning to fall. The year-over-year change in the median resale price of condos and single-family homes in the GTA, as reported by the Toronto Real Estate Board. Put simply, when the trend is below zero%, it means prices are falling compared to the previous year.

    Comment: And yet condo prices have risen every other year, always going up. One year is only one year. You are telling people to panic and sell, or not buy, because of 10% of a decade-long trend? That does not sound like practical financial advice.

    Resale prices for condos are now slightly below what they were a year ago. Barring a major change in current sales and inventory trends, it doesn’t appear that prices will rebound soon. But the recent downward motion is a major change from the past 10 years – and you want to act immediately on that, rather than wait it out to see what happens. All prices rise in time, given enough time. If you buy a condo now – to live in, as a home as opposed to an investment – you are more than likely going to see a higher price 5 years from you. Simple as that.

    For prospective first-time buyers looking at jumping into the condo market, it certainly looks like 2013 will be a great year to sit on the sidelines and watch how this plays out. For condo owners looking to sell, be aware of the current state of the market and set your price and expectations accordingly.

    —————————————————————————————————–
    Contact the Jeffrey Team for more information – 416-388-1960

    Laurin & Natalie Jeffrey are Toronto Realtors with Century 21 Regal Realty.
    They did not write these articles, they just reproduce them here for people
    who are interested in Toronto real estate. They do not work for any builders.
    —————————————————————————————————–


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